Recent auction results and the thin pipeline for the remainder of 2026 underpin the 68.5% trader consensus on “No.” The May Jackson Pollock from the S.I. Newhouse collection reached $181.2 million at Christie’s, yet that outlier depended on pristine provenance and once-in-a-generation timing; no comparable works with $150 million-plus estimates have been confirmed for the fall season. Selective buyer participation, broader economic caution, and the art market’s reliance on rare blue-chip consignments continue to limit upside, mirroring historical patterns where nine-figure results remain exceptional rather than routine. November New York evening sales and any late surprise offerings remain the key catalysts that could still shift sentiment before year-end.