Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* surged to an 86.5% market-implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards following its July 2026 release, which delivered a record-breaking $264 million global opening, 96% critical approval, and enthusiastic early Academy screenings. Traders cite its expected haul across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and a broad technical sweep—including cinematography, production design, sound, visual effects, and score—as the dominant driver, mirroring *Oppenheimer*’s path but with stronger initial momentum. Later releases like *Dune: Messiah* (5.8%) and *Project Hail Mary* (4.0%) trail due to narrower technical focus or earlier campaign fatigue, while smaller contenders remain under 1%. Guild precursors and fall festival results remain key swing factors before January nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey 87%
Dune: Messiah 5.8%
Project Hail Mary 4.1%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$124,167 Vol.
$124,167 Vol.
Feb 27, 2027
The Odyssey
87%
Dune: Messiah
6%
Project Hail Mary
4%
Wild Horse Nine
1%
The Social Reckoning
1%
The Bride!
<1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
The Odyssey 87%
Dune: Messiah 5.8%
Project Hail Mary 4.1%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$124,167 Vol.
$124,167 Vol.
Feb 27, 2027
The Odyssey
$35,082 Vol.
87%
Dune: Messiah
$60,794 Vol.
6%
Project Hail Mary
$7,467 Vol.
4%
Wild Horse Nine
$4,389 Vol.
1%
The Social Reckoning
$3,472 Vol.
1%
The Bride!
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
Wuthering Heights
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
Disclosure Day
$6,699 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* surged to an 86.5% market-implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards following its July 2026 release, which delivered a record-breaking $264 million global opening, 96% critical approval, and enthusiastic early Academy screenings. Traders cite its expected haul across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and a broad technical sweep—including cinematography, production design, sound, visual effects, and score—as the dominant driver, mirroring *Oppenheimer*’s path but with stronger initial momentum. Later releases like *Dune: Messiah* (5.8%) and *Project Hail Mary* (4.0%) trail due to narrower technical focus or earlier campaign fatigue, while smaller contenders remain under 1%. Guild precursors and fall festival results remain key swing factors before January nominations.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$124,167End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* surged to an 86.5% market-implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards following its July 2026 release, which delivered a record-breaking $264 million global opening, 96% critical approval, and enthusiastic early Academy screenings. Traders cite its expected haul across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and a broad technical sweep—including cinematography, production design, sound, visual effects, and score—as the dominant driver, mirroring *Oppenheimer*’s path but with stronger initial momentum. Later releases like *Dune: Messiah* (5.8%) and *Project Hail Mary* (4.0%) trail due to narrower technical focus or earlier campaign fatigue, while smaller contenders remain under 1%. Guild precursors and fall festival results remain key swing factors before January nominations.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,167End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* surged to an 86.5% market-implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards following its July 2026 release, which delivered a record-breaking $264 million global opening, 96% critical approval, and enthusiastic early Academy screenings. Traders cite its expected haul across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and a broad technical sweep—including cinematography, production design, sound, visual effects, and score—as the dominant driver, mirroring *Oppenheimer*’s path but with stronger initial momentum. Later releases like *Dune: Messiah* (5.8%) and *Project Hail Mary* (4.0%) trail due to narrower technical focus or earlier campaign fatigue, while smaller contenders remain under 1%. Guild precursors and fall festival results remain key swing factors before January nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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