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icon for Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

icon for Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

140-159 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$14,201 Vol.

140-159 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$14,201 Vol.

<20

$367 Vol.

No

20-39

$711 Vol.

No

40-59

$473 Vol.

No

60-79

$359 Vol.

No

80-99

$486 Vol.

No

100-119

$1,779 Vol.

No

120-139

$2,945 Vol.

No

140-159

$3,469 Vol.

Yes

160-179

$1,644 Vol.

No

180-199

$1,226 Vol.

No

200+

$743 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz’s consistent daily output of roughly 20 hashtag-tagged posts on X during the August 18-25 window, driven by promotion of his book *Going Further* releasing on the 25th, anchors trader consensus on the 140-159 bracket at 96%. August Senate recess has produced lighter legislative activity, with recent bipartisan bills on sanctions and immigration generating routine rather than viral engagement that would push totals higher. Historical weekly ranges of 80-140 posts, adjusted for moderate book-related activity without major breaking events, align with this band. A sustained drop below 18 daily posts from travel or a quiet close to the period, or an unexpected surge past 20 from late developments, represent the narrow paths that could shift resolution outside 140-159.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,201
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/tedcruz
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz’s consistent daily output of roughly 20 hashtag-tagged posts on X during the August 18-25 window, driven by promotion of his book *Going Further* releasing on the 25th, anchors trader consensus on the 140-159 bracket at 96%. August Senate recess has produced lighter legislative activity, with recent bipartisan bills on sanctions and immigration generating routine rather than viral engagement that would push totals higher. Historical weekly ranges of 80-140 posts, adjusted for moderate book-related activity without major breaking events, align with this band. A sustained drop below 18 daily posts from travel or a quiet close to the period, or an unexpected surge past 20 from late developments, represent the narrow paths that could shift resolution outside 140-159.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,201
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/tedcruz
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "140-159" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" has generated $14.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" is "140-159" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ted Cruz # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.