Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s, with multiple August surveys reporting figures between 33% and 40%. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, particularly record-low ratings on inflation and prices, combined with low public support for U.S. military involvement in the Iran conflict and concerns over its duration, continue to weigh on sentiment. Border security handling has also shifted net negative in recent tracking. These factors have kept overall numbers stable in the mid-to-high 30s despite minor weekly fluctuations, aligning trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 48%
37.5–37.9 28%
37.0–37.4 26%
39.0+ 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
11%
37.0–37.4
26%
37.5–37.9
28%
38.0–38.4
48%
38.5–38.9
24%
39.0+
26%
38.0–38.4 48%
37.5–37.9 28%
37.0–37.4 26%
39.0+ 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
$20 Vol.
11%
37.0–37.4
$0 Vol.
26%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
28%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
48%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
24%
39.0+
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s, with multiple August surveys reporting figures between 33% and 40%. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, particularly record-low ratings on inflation and prices, combined with low public support for U.S. military involvement in the Iran conflict and concerns over its duration, continue to weigh on sentiment. Border security handling has also shifted net negative in recent tracking. These factors have kept overall numbers stable in the mid-to-high 30s despite minor weekly fluctuations, aligning trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 measurement.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s, with multiple August surveys reporting figures between 33% and 40%. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, particularly record-low ratings on inflation and prices, combined with low public support for U.S. military involvement in the Iran conflict and concerns over its duration, continue to weigh on sentiment. Border security handling has also shifted net negative in recent tracking. These factors have kept overall numbers stable in the mid-to-high 30s despite minor weekly fluctuations, aligning trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 measurement.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s, with multiple August surveys reporting figures between 33% and 40%. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, particularly record-low ratings on inflation and prices, combined with low public support for U.S. military involvement in the Iran conflict and concerns over its duration, continue to weigh on sentiment. Border security handling has also shifted net negative in recent tracking. These factors have kept overall numbers stable in the mid-to-high 30s despite minor weekly fluctuations, aligning trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions