Trader consensus in this approval rating market clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.9 range, with three adjacent bins each commanding 28–35% probability. This reflects stable but narrowly fluctuating polling averages in the days before August 28, shaped by routine economic indicators, congressional appropriations activity, and administration messaging on trade and border policy. With no dominant late-breaking catalyst in the prior week, small shifts in survey methodology or modest news flow on legislative progress could still separate the leading outcomes before resolution. Historical base rates for presidential approval show limited volatility over short windows absent major events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 35%
38.5–38.9 30%
37.5–37.9 29%
37.0–37.4 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
4%
37.0–37.4
6%
37.5–37.9
29%
38.0–38.4
35%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0+
5%
38.0–38.4 35%
38.5–38.9 30%
37.5–37.9 29%
37.0–37.4 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
$65 Vol.
4%
37.0–37.4
$65 Vol.
6%
37.5–37.9
$764 Vol.
29%
38.0–38.4
$624 Vol.
35%
38.5–38.9
$1,002 Vol.
30%
39.0+
$153 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus in this approval rating market clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.9 range, with three adjacent bins each commanding 28–35% probability. This reflects stable but narrowly fluctuating polling averages in the days before August 28, shaped by routine economic indicators, congressional appropriations activity, and administration messaging on trade and border policy. With no dominant late-breaking catalyst in the prior week, small shifts in survey methodology or modest news flow on legislative progress could still separate the leading outcomes before resolution. Historical base rates for presidential approval show limited volatility over short windows absent major events.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,673End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus in this approval rating market clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.9 range, with three adjacent bins each commanding 28–35% probability. This reflects stable but narrowly fluctuating polling averages in the days before August 28, shaped by routine economic indicators, congressional appropriations activity, and administration messaging on trade and border policy. With no dominant late-breaking catalyst in the prior week, small shifts in survey methodology or modest news flow on legislative progress could still separate the leading outcomes before resolution. Historical base rates for presidential approval show limited volatility over short windows absent major events.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,673End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this approval rating market clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.9 range, with three adjacent bins each commanding 28–35% probability. This reflects stable but narrowly fluctuating polling averages in the days before August 28, shaped by routine economic indicators, congressional appropriations activity, and administration messaging on trade and border policy. With no dominant late-breaking catalyst in the prior week, small shifts in survey methodology or modest news flow on legislative progress could still separate the leading outcomes before resolution. Historical base rates for presidential approval show limited volatility over short windows absent major events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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