Recent polling from late August 2026 shows President Trump’s job approval hovering in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid the prolonged U.S. military engagement with Iran, stalled ceasefire efforts, and elevated gasoline prices that have weighed on household costs. Multiple surveys, including Reuters/Ipsos and Economist/YouGov releases, recorded disapproval levels at or above 60 percent, with broad majorities across parties expressing concern that the conflict will extend for months. These factors, alongside midterm election pressures on congressional Republicans, have kept approval ratings near second-term lows and produced little evidence of short-term rebound. Trader positioning favoring a weekly decline reflects this sustained negative environment rather than any single isolated event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
56% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
Up
56% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from late August 2026 shows President Trump’s job approval hovering in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid the prolonged U.S. military engagement with Iran, stalled ceasefire efforts, and elevated gasoline prices that have weighed on household costs. Multiple surveys, including Reuters/Ipsos and Economist/YouGov releases, recorded disapproval levels at or above 60 percent, with broad majorities across parties expressing concern that the conflict will extend for months. These factors, alongside midterm election pressures on congressional Republicans, have kept approval ratings near second-term lows and produced little evidence of short-term rebound. Trader positioning favoring a weekly decline reflects this sustained negative environment rather than any single isolated event.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Volume
$35End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from late August 2026 shows President Trump’s job approval hovering in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid the prolonged U.S. military engagement with Iran, stalled ceasefire efforts, and elevated gasoline prices that have weighed on household costs. Multiple surveys, including Reuters/Ipsos and Economist/YouGov releases, recorded disapproval levels at or above 60 percent, with broad majorities across parties expressing concern that the conflict will extend for months. These factors, alongside midterm election pressures on congressional Republicans, have kept approval ratings near second-term lows and produced little evidence of short-term rebound. Trader positioning favoring a weekly decline reflects this sustained negative environment rather than any single isolated event.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$35End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from late August 2026 shows President Trump’s job approval hovering in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid the prolonged U.S. military engagement with Iran, stalled ceasefire efforts, and elevated gasoline prices that have weighed on household costs. Multiple surveys, including Reuters/Ipsos and Economist/YouGov releases, recorded disapproval levels at or above 60 percent, with broad majorities across parties expressing concern that the conflict will extend for months. These factors, alongside midterm election pressures on congressional Republicans, have kept approval ratings near second-term lows and produced little evidence of short-term rebound. Trader positioning favoring a weekly decline reflects this sustained negative environment rather than any single isolated event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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