Trump’s approval rating has trended downward through 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s amid steady partisan polarization and recent foreign policy developments. Polls from Pew, Reuters/Ipsos, and aggregators such as the New York Times and Nate Silver show figures hovering near 34–39 percent in July–August, with some individual surveys recording second-term lows around 33 percent. Analysts link the softening support partly to resumed U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of conflict and ceasefire efforts. The economy and 2026 midterm contests remain central voter concerns, with historical patterns indicating that sustained low ratings at this stage of a presidency can limit upside movement absent major positive catalysts before year-end.