Rhode Island’s strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent general-election patterns underpin the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Recent polls show Helena Foulkes maintaining a double-digit lead over incumbent Dan McKee in the September 9 primary, while hypothetical November matchups place her well ahead of both Republican primary contenders and independent Ken Block. Low Republican primary turnout and modest independent support further limit crossover potential. A late scandal, major polling shift, or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, yet historical results and current survey margins indicate few realistic paths for non-Democratic outcomes before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDemocrat 97.1%
Independent 1.8%
Republican 1.8%
$67,706 Vol.
$67,706 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
97%
Independent
2%
Republican
2%
Democrat 97.1%
Independent 1.8%
Republican 1.8%
$67,706 Vol.
$67,706 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$55,962 Vol.
97%
Independent
$1,849 Vol.
2%
Republican
$9,895 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island’s strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent general-election patterns underpin the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Recent polls show Helena Foulkes maintaining a double-digit lead over incumbent Dan McKee in the September 9 primary, while hypothetical November matchups place her well ahead of both Republican primary contenders and independent Ken Block. Low Republican primary turnout and modest independent support further limit crossover potential. A late scandal, major polling shift, or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, yet historical results and current survey margins indicate few realistic paths for non-Democratic outcomes before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$67,706End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island’s strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent general-election patterns underpin the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Recent polls show Helena Foulkes maintaining a double-digit lead over incumbent Dan McKee in the September 9 primary, while hypothetical November matchups place her well ahead of both Republican primary contenders and independent Ken Block. Low Republican primary turnout and modest independent support further limit crossover potential. A late scandal, major polling shift, or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, yet historical results and current survey margins indicate few realistic paths for non-Democratic outcomes before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$67,706End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent general-election patterns underpin the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Recent polls show Helena Foulkes maintaining a double-digit lead over incumbent Dan McKee in the September 9 primary, while hypothetical November matchups place her well ahead of both Republican primary contenders and independent Ken Block. Low Republican primary turnout and modest independent support further limit crossover potential. A late scandal, major polling shift, or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, yet historical results and current survey margins indicate few realistic paths for non-Democratic outcomes before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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