Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district after redistricting shifted boundaries to include more of the Rio Grande Valley and rural areas, reducing the incumbent's prior advantage and creating a competitive landscape. Recent polls show the race within a few points, with Democratic surveys indicating slight leads for Pulido and others favoring De La Cruz, reflecting mixed voter sentiment in a district that leans Republican by historical margins but features strong Democratic performance in some recent cycles. Key dynamics include Hispanic voter turnout, local economic issues, and national midterm headwinds for the majority party. Separation could emerge from fundraising gaps, endorsements, or late-campaign developments that shift swing voters in this toss-up contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$11,922 Vol.
$11,922 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
51%
Democratic Party
50%
$11,922 Vol.
$11,922 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,416 Vol.
51%
Democratic Party
$4,506 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district after redistricting shifted boundaries to include more of the Rio Grande Valley and rural areas, reducing the incumbent's prior advantage and creating a competitive landscape. Recent polls show the race within a few points, with Democratic surveys indicating slight leads for Pulido and others favoring De La Cruz, reflecting mixed voter sentiment in a district that leans Republican by historical margins but features strong Democratic performance in some recent cycles. Key dynamics include Hispanic voter turnout, local economic issues, and national midterm headwinds for the majority party. Separation could emerge from fundraising gaps, endorsements, or late-campaign developments that shift swing voters in this toss-up contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$11,922End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district after redistricting shifted boundaries to include more of the Rio Grande Valley and rural areas, reducing the incumbent's prior advantage and creating a competitive landscape. Recent polls show the race within a few points, with Democratic surveys indicating slight leads for Pulido and others favoring De La Cruz, reflecting mixed voter sentiment in a district that leans Republican by historical margins but features strong Democratic performance in some recent cycles. Key dynamics include Hispanic voter turnout, local economic issues, and national midterm headwinds for the majority party. Separation could emerge from fundraising gaps, endorsements, or late-campaign developments that shift swing voters in this toss-up contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,922End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district after redistricting shifted boundaries to include more of the Rio Grande Valley and rural areas, reducing the incumbent's prior advantage and creating a competitive landscape. Recent polls show the race within a few points, with Democratic surveys indicating slight leads for Pulido and others favoring De La Cruz, reflecting mixed voter sentiment in a district that leans Republican by historical margins but features strong Democratic performance in some recent cycles. Key dynamics include Hispanic voter turnout, local economic issues, and national midterm headwinds for the majority party. Separation could emerge from fundraising gaps, endorsements, or late-campaign developments that shift swing voters in this toss-up contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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