Tennessee's 1st congressional district, covering northeast Tennessee including the Tri-Cities region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger, first elected in 2020, secured her party's nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary after winning 78% in the prior general election, while Democrat Kristi Burke emerged from a low-turnout primary contest. The seat has remained in Republican hands since the 19th century, with structural factors such as voter registration patterns and district boundaries reinforcing the current trader consensus around a commanding Republican advantage. Scenarios that could narrow this position include a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually sharp national swing against the party ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$19,747 Vol.
$19,747 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$19,747 Vol.
$19,747 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,424 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$5,323 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district, covering northeast Tennessee including the Tri-Cities region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger, first elected in 2020, secured her party's nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary after winning 78% in the prior general election, while Democrat Kristi Burke emerged from a low-turnout primary contest. The seat has remained in Republican hands since the 19th century, with structural factors such as voter registration patterns and district boundaries reinforcing the current trader consensus around a commanding Republican advantage. Scenarios that could narrow this position include a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually sharp national swing against the party ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$19,747End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district, covering northeast Tennessee including the Tri-Cities region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger, first elected in 2020, secured her party's nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary after winning 78% in the prior general election, while Democrat Kristi Burke emerged from a low-turnout primary contest. The seat has remained in Republican hands since the 19th century, with structural factors such as voter registration patterns and district boundaries reinforcing the current trader consensus around a commanding Republican advantage. Scenarios that could narrow this position include a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually sharp national swing against the party ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,747End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district, covering northeast Tennessee including the Tri-Cities region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger, first elected in 2020, secured her party's nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary after winning 78% in the prior general election, while Democrat Kristi Burke emerged from a low-turnout primary contest. The seat has remained in Republican hands since the 19th century, with structural factors such as voter registration patterns and district boundaries reinforcing the current trader consensus around a commanding Republican advantage. Scenarios that could narrow this position include a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually sharp national swing against the party ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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