Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 following the May 2026 redistricting, placing it among the state's more reliably Republican seats. The open race after incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid featured an August 6 primary in which state Representative Johnny Garrett secured the GOP nomination against several challengers, while Mike Croley emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics that typically shift outcomes in such districts. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and limited recent developments capable of altering the trajectory before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unforeseen national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
$12,406 Vol.
$12,406 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$12,406 Vol.
$12,406 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$8,446 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,960 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 following the May 2026 redistricting, placing it among the state's more reliably Republican seats. The open race after incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid featured an August 6 primary in which state Representative Johnny Garrett secured the GOP nomination against several challengers, while Mike Croley emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics that typically shift outcomes in such districts. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and limited recent developments capable of altering the trajectory before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unforeseen national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,406End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 following the May 2026 redistricting, placing it among the state's more reliably Republican seats. The open race after incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid featured an August 6 primary in which state Representative Johnny Garrett secured the GOP nomination against several challengers, while Mike Croley emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics that typically shift outcomes in such districts. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and limited recent developments capable of altering the trajectory before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unforeseen national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,406End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 following the May 2026 redistricting, placing it among the state's more reliably Republican seats. The open race after incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid featured an August 6 primary in which state Representative Johnny Garrett secured the GOP nomination against several challengers, while Mike Croley emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics that typically shift outcomes in such districts. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and limited recent developments capable of altering the trajectory before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unforeseen national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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