With the 2026 film slate still unfolding, the Best Supporting Actor market reflects a wide-open field where no single performer has locked in dominant momentum. Paul Giamatti leads with the highest implied probability at 28.5 percent, driven by early industry attention to his potential role, while Colman Domingo sits at 10.9 percent and the rest of the field trails below 10 percent. This distribution highlights the absence of decisive precursors, guild signals, or critical consensus at this stage, leaving room for late-year releases, festival buzz, and upcoming guild nominations to reshape trader sentiment before nominations close in early 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 29%
Robert Pattinson 9.2%
John Goodman 7%
Sam Rockwell 6.7%
$11,935 Vol.
$11,935 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Paul Giamatti
29%
Robert Pattinson
9%
John Goodman
7%
Sam Rockwell
7%
Jesse Plemons
4%
Jeremy Strong
4%
Steve Buscemi
4%
Miles Teller
4%
Riz Ahmed
4%
Tom Holland
4%
Robert De Niro
4%
Himesh Patel
4%
Daniel Craig
4%
Edward Norton
4%
Travis Scott
3%
Michael Fassbender
3%
Charles Melton
2%
Channing Tatum
2%
Colman Domingo
10%
Adam Scott
2%
James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 29%
Robert Pattinson 9.2%
John Goodman 7%
Sam Rockwell 6.7%
$11,935 Vol.
$11,935 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Paul Giamatti
$2,660 Vol.
29%
Robert Pattinson
$6,967 Vol.
9%
John Goodman
$459 Vol.
7%
Sam Rockwell
$92 Vol.
7%
Jesse Plemons
$68 Vol.
4%
Jeremy Strong
$55 Vol.
4%
Steve Buscemi
$60 Vol.
4%
Miles Teller
$85 Vol.
4%
Riz Ahmed
$97 Vol.
4%
Tom Holland
$55 Vol.
4%
Robert De Niro
$55 Vol.
4%
Himesh Patel
$55 Vol.
4%
Daniel Craig
$55 Vol.
4%
Edward Norton
$128 Vol.
4%
Travis Scott
$132 Vol.
3%
Michael Fassbender
$55 Vol.
3%
Charles Melton
$471 Vol.
2%
Channing Tatum
$145 Vol.
2%
Colman Domingo
$75 Vol.
10%
Adam Scott
$92 Vol.
2%
James Ortiz
$75 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 film slate still unfolding, the Best Supporting Actor market reflects a wide-open field where no single performer has locked in dominant momentum. Paul Giamatti leads with the highest implied probability at 28.5 percent, driven by early industry attention to his potential role, while Colman Domingo sits at 10.9 percent and the rest of the field trails below 10 percent. This distribution highlights the absence of decisive precursors, guild signals, or critical consensus at this stage, leaving room for late-year releases, festival buzz, and upcoming guild nominations to reshape trader sentiment before nominations close in early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$11,935End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 film slate still unfolding, the Best Supporting Actor market reflects a wide-open field where no single performer has locked in dominant momentum. Paul Giamatti leads with the highest implied probability at 28.5 percent, driven by early industry attention to his potential role, while Colman Domingo sits at 10.9 percent and the rest of the field trails below 10 percent. This distribution highlights the absence of decisive precursors, guild signals, or critical consensus at this stage, leaving room for late-year releases, festival buzz, and upcoming guild nominations to reshape trader sentiment before nominations close in early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,935End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 film slate still unfolding, the Best Supporting Actor market reflects a wide-open field where no single performer has locked in dominant momentum. Paul Giamatti leads with the highest implied probability at 28.5 percent, driven by early industry attention to his potential role, while Colman Domingo sits at 10.9 percent and the rest of the field trails below 10 percent. This distribution highlights the absence of decisive precursors, guild signals, or critical consensus at this stage, leaving room for late-year releases, festival buzz, and upcoming guild nominations to reshape trader sentiment before nominations close in early 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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