Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race shows a wide-open field this early in the cycle, with Tom Cruise and Matt Damon tied at the top of market-implied odds near 28.5 percent each. Their positioning stems from established name recognition and expected 2026 projects, though no dominant critical or box-office frontrunner has surfaced to consolidate support. Andrew Scott sits next at 15.5 percent on recent momentum, while names like Robert Pattinson, Timothée Chalamet, and Sebastian Stan trail on longer-shot potential. Competitive dynamics hinge on fall festival premieres, precursor guild results such as SAG-AFTRA, and critical consensus that typically crystallize voter narratives closer to the ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Tom Cruise 29%
Matt Damon 29%
Andrew Scott 16%
John Malkovich 10.4%
$91,422 Vol.
$91,422 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Tom Cruise
29%
Matt Damon
29%
Andrew Scott
16%
John Malkovich
10%
Robert Pattinson
7%
Sebastian Stan
3%
Ryan Gosling
2%
Timothée Chalamet
2%
Javier Bardem
1%
Sam Rockwell
1%
Brad Pitt
1%
Jeremy Strong
1%
Pedro Pascal
1%
Adam Driver
1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
Robert Aramayo
<1%
Jaafar Jackson
<1%
John Turturro
<1%
Tom Cruise 29%
Matt Damon 29%
Andrew Scott 16%
John Malkovich 10.4%
$91,422 Vol.
$91,422 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Tom Cruise
$8,690 Vol.
29%
Matt Damon
$28,773 Vol.
29%
Andrew Scott
$8,491 Vol.
16%
John Malkovich
$4,165 Vol.
10%
Robert Pattinson
$2,797 Vol.
7%
Sebastian Stan
$2,432 Vol.
3%
Ryan Gosling
$4,364 Vol.
2%
Timothée Chalamet
$2,881 Vol.
2%
Javier Bardem
$2,449 Vol.
1%
Sam Rockwell
$2,404 Vol.
1%
Brad Pitt
$7,828 Vol.
1%
Jeremy Strong
$2,651 Vol.
1%
Pedro Pascal
$2,873 Vol.
1%
Adam Driver
$2,209 Vol.
1%
Josh O'Connor
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
Robert Aramayo
$2,947 Vol.
<1%
Jaafar Jackson
$2,729 Vol.
<1%
John Turturro
$1,389 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race shows a wide-open field this early in the cycle, with Tom Cruise and Matt Damon tied at the top of market-implied odds near 28.5 percent each. Their positioning stems from established name recognition and expected 2026 projects, though no dominant critical or box-office frontrunner has surfaced to consolidate support. Andrew Scott sits next at 15.5 percent on recent momentum, while names like Robert Pattinson, Timothée Chalamet, and Sebastian Stan trail on longer-shot potential. Competitive dynamics hinge on fall festival premieres, precursor guild results such as SAG-AFTRA, and critical consensus that typically crystallize voter narratives closer to the ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Volume
$91,422End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race shows a wide-open field this early in the cycle, with Tom Cruise and Matt Damon tied at the top of market-implied odds near 28.5 percent each. Their positioning stems from established name recognition and expected 2026 projects, though no dominant critical or box-office frontrunner has surfaced to consolidate support. Andrew Scott sits next at 15.5 percent on recent momentum, while names like Robert Pattinson, Timothée Chalamet, and Sebastian Stan trail on longer-shot potential. Competitive dynamics hinge on fall festival premieres, precursor guild results such as SAG-AFTRA, and critical consensus that typically crystallize voter narratives closer to the ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,422End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race shows a wide-open field this early in the cycle, with Tom Cruise and Matt Damon tied at the top of market-implied odds near 28.5 percent each. Their positioning stems from established name recognition and expected 2026 projects, though no dominant critical or box-office frontrunner has surfaced to consolidate support. Andrew Scott sits next at 15.5 percent on recent momentum, while names like Robert Pattinson, Timothée Chalamet, and Sebastian Stan trail on longer-shot potential. Competitive dynamics hinge on fall festival premieres, precursor guild results such as SAG-AFTRA, and critical consensus that typically crystallize voter narratives closer to the ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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