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icon for Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

icon for Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Tanoa Sasraku 35%

Kira Freije 25%

Marguerite Humeau 22%

Simeon Barclay 15%

Polymarket
NEW

Tanoa Sasraku 35%

Kira Freije 25%

Marguerite Humeau 22%

Simeon Barclay 15%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Tanoa Sasraku

Tanoa Sasraku

$2,365 Vol.

35%

icon for Kira Freije

Kira Freije

$1,214 Vol.

25%

icon for Marguerite Humeau

Marguerite Humeau

$1,040 Vol.

22%

icon for Simeon Barclay

Simeon Barclay

$309 Vol.

15%

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 2026 shortlist announcement established a tight four-way contest among Tanoa Sasraku, Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay, with Sasraku holding the market edge at 35% implied probability on the strength of her ICA exhibition Morale Patch. Jury commentary highlighted the work’s precise, minimalist exploration of oil’s geopolitical and military histories, giving it contemporary resonance amid ongoing energy market volatility. Freije’s sculptural practice and Humeau’s mythic installations follow closely, while Barclay’s performance-based nomination trails. The upcoming September opening of the Turner Prize exhibition at MIMA and the December 10 ceremony remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus based on installation impact and critical response.

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.

If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,928
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 2026 shortlist announcement established a tight four-way contest among Tanoa Sasraku, Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay, with Sasraku holding the market edge at 35% implied probability on the strength of her ICA exhibition Morale Patch. Jury commentary highlighted the work’s precise, minimalist exploration of oil’s geopolitical and military histories, giving it contemporary resonance amid ongoing energy market volatility. Freije’s sculptural practice and Humeau’s mythic installations follow closely, while Barclay’s performance-based nomination trails. The upcoming September opening of the Turner Prize exhibition at MIMA and the December 10 ceremony remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus based on installation impact and critical response.

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.

If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,928
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Turner Prize 2026 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tanoa Sasraku" at 35%, followed by "Kira Freije" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Turner Prize 2026 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Turner Prize 2026 Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turner Prize 2026 Winner" is "Tanoa Sasraku" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kira Freije" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turner Prize 2026 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.