Early trading on the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay market reflects an unusually open field eight months before nominations, with Wild Horse Nine leading at 34% amid broad uncertainty. Martin McDonagh’s black comedy, set for a November release and featuring a strong ensemble including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell, benefits from the writer-director’s prior Oscar success and early industry attention. Close behind are The Debut, Fjord, Obsession, and Digger, each drawing support from established auteurs like Jesse Eisenberg, Cristian Mungiu, and Alejandro G. Iñárritu. With no guild or critics’ prizes yet awarded and major fall festivals pending, trader consensus hinges on upcoming premieres, critical reception, and how these originals stack against historical voting patterns that often reward distinctive voices in a crowded category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 34%
The Debut 12.7%
Fjord 12%
Obsession 12%
$22,094 Vol.
$22,094 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
34%
The Debut
13%
Fjord
12%
Obsession
12%
Digger
10%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
The Black Ball
4%
The Drama
4%
A Place in Hell
4%
Josephine
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
8%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
The Debut 12.7%
Fjord 12%
Obsession 12%
$22,094 Vol.
$22,094 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$19,198 Vol.
34%
The Debut
$133 Vol.
13%
Fjord
$1,194 Vol.
12%
Obsession
$154 Vol.
12%
Digger
$694 Vol.
10%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$59 Vol.
5%
The Invite
$39 Vol.
5%
The Black Ball
$97 Vol.
4%
The Drama
$39 Vol.
4%
A Place in Hell
$59 Vol.
4%
Josephine
$59 Vol.
3%
The Odyssey
$59 Vol.
3%
Club Kid
$43 Vol.
3%
Elsinore
$39 Vol.
2%
Fatherland
$39 Vol.
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 Vol.
8%
Forgotten Island
$79 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trading on the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay market reflects an unusually open field eight months before nominations, with Wild Horse Nine leading at 34% amid broad uncertainty. Martin McDonagh’s black comedy, set for a November release and featuring a strong ensemble including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell, benefits from the writer-director’s prior Oscar success and early industry attention. Close behind are The Debut, Fjord, Obsession, and Digger, each drawing support from established auteurs like Jesse Eisenberg, Cristian Mungiu, and Alejandro G. Iñárritu. With no guild or critics’ prizes yet awarded and major fall festivals pending, trader consensus hinges on upcoming premieres, critical reception, and how these originals stack against historical voting patterns that often reward distinctive voices in a crowded category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$22,094End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trading on the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay market reflects an unusually open field eight months before nominations, with Wild Horse Nine leading at 34% amid broad uncertainty. Martin McDonagh’s black comedy, set for a November release and featuring a strong ensemble including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell, benefits from the writer-director’s prior Oscar success and early industry attention. Close behind are The Debut, Fjord, Obsession, and Digger, each drawing support from established auteurs like Jesse Eisenberg, Cristian Mungiu, and Alejandro G. Iñárritu. With no guild or critics’ prizes yet awarded and major fall festivals pending, trader consensus hinges on upcoming premieres, critical reception, and how these originals stack against historical voting patterns that often reward distinctive voices in a crowded category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,094End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early trading on the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay market reflects an unusually open field eight months before nominations, with Wild Horse Nine leading at 34% amid broad uncertainty. Martin McDonagh’s black comedy, set for a November release and featuring a strong ensemble including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell, benefits from the writer-director’s prior Oscar success and early industry attention. Close behind are The Debut, Fjord, Obsession, and Digger, each drawing support from established auteurs like Jesse Eisenberg, Cristian Mungiu, and Alejandro G. Iñárritu. With no guild or critics’ prizes yet awarded and major fall festivals pending, trader consensus hinges on upcoming premieres, critical reception, and how these originals stack against historical voting patterns that often reward distinctive voices in a crowded category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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