NVIDIA's just-reported Q2 FY2027 results, showing exactly 75.0% non-GAAP gross margin, have cemented the 99% market-implied odds for the 74%-76% outcome. This reflects sustained strength in the Data Center segment, where Blackwell Ultra's higher-margin mix outweighed sequential flatness and inventory provisions. Guidance of 75.0% +/-50 basis points aligned closely with the actual figure, reinforcing trader consensus around product mix improvements and AI-driven demand. Only narrow accounting adjustments or unreported one-time items could realistically shift the final non-GAAP number outside this tight band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated74%-76% 100.0%
<72% <1%
72%-74% <1%
76%-78% <1%
$12,928 Vol.
$12,928 Vol.
<72%
No
72%-74%
No
74%-76%
Yes
76%-78%
No
78%+
No
74%-76% 100.0%
<72% <1%
72%-74% <1%
76%-78% <1%
$12,928 Vol.
$12,928 Vol.
<72%
No
72%-74%
No
74%-76%
Yes
76%-78%
No
78%+
No
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
NVIDIA's just-reported Q2 FY2027 results, showing exactly 75.0% non-GAAP gross margin, have cemented the 99% market-implied odds for the 74%-76% outcome. This reflects sustained strength in the Data Center segment, where Blackwell Ultra's higher-margin mix outweighed sequential flatness and inventory provisions. Guidance of 75.0% +/-50 basis points aligned closely with the actual figure, reinforcing trader consensus around product mix improvements and AI-driven demand. Only narrow accounting adjustments or unreported one-time items could realistically shift the final non-GAAP number outside this tight band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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