Recent official forecasts from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 25, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features typical highs of 31–33°C amid haze and isolated thunderstorms, with humidity near 70–80% moderating perceived heat while limiting extreme warming. This strong consensus reflects stable steering patterns and limited diurnal heating under prevailing conditions. Resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum; brief clear-sky periods or model shifts favoring 33–34°C could still alter the final reading before observations close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,529 Vol.
$56,529 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,529 Vol.
$56,529 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 25, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features typical highs of 31–33°C amid haze and isolated thunderstorms, with humidity near 70–80% moderating perceived heat while limiting extreme warming. This strong consensus reflects stable steering patterns and limited diurnal heating under prevailing conditions. Resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum; brief clear-sky periods or model shifts favoring 33–34°C could still alter the final reading before observations close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions