The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% market-implied odds reflect its status as the clear frontrunner, fueled by a dominant 25 Emmy nominations—including a sweep of acting categories—for its second season on Max, building on its surprise 2025 win for Outstanding Drama Series. Voters appear drawn to the medical drama’s realistic portrayal of emergency care, strong ensemble performances led by Noah Wyle, and expanded critical momentum in a year lacking a single breakout rival. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail with far fewer nods. An upset would require a late surge in guild or critics’ support for a newcomer or a coordinated push against the incumbent during final voting, though historical patterns favor the nomination leader here.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
“The Pitt” 94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 2.7%
“Slow Horses” 1.7%
“Your Friends & Neighbors” 1.7%
$21,947 Vol.
$21,947 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Pitt”
94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
3%
“Slow Horses”
2%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
2%
“The Gilded Age”
1%
"The Diplomat"
1%
“Paradise”
1%
“The Pitt” 94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 2.7%
“Slow Horses” 1.7%
“Your Friends & Neighbors” 1.7%
$21,947 Vol.
$21,947 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Pitt”
$16,008 Vol.
94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
$662 Vol.
3%
“Slow Horses”
$1,974 Vol.
2%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
$855 Vol.
2%
“The Gilded Age”
$831 Vol.
1%
"The Diplomat"
$765 Vol.
1%
“Paradise”
$851 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% market-implied odds reflect its status as the clear frontrunner, fueled by a dominant 25 Emmy nominations—including a sweep of acting categories—for its second season on Max, building on its surprise 2025 win for Outstanding Drama Series. Voters appear drawn to the medical drama’s realistic portrayal of emergency care, strong ensemble performances led by Noah Wyle, and expanded critical momentum in a year lacking a single breakout rival. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail with far fewer nods. An upset would require a late surge in guild or critics’ support for a newcomer or a coordinated push against the incumbent during final voting, though historical patterns favor the nomination leader here.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$21,947End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% market-implied odds reflect its status as the clear frontrunner, fueled by a dominant 25 Emmy nominations—including a sweep of acting categories—for its second season on Max, building on its surprise 2025 win for Outstanding Drama Series. Voters appear drawn to the medical drama’s realistic portrayal of emergency care, strong ensemble performances led by Noah Wyle, and expanded critical momentum in a year lacking a single breakout rival. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail with far fewer nods. An upset would require a late surge in guild or critics’ support for a newcomer or a coordinated push against the incumbent during final voting, though historical patterns favor the nomination leader here.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,947End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% market-implied odds reflect its status as the clear frontrunner, fueled by a dominant 25 Emmy nominations—including a sweep of acting categories—for its second season on Max, building on its surprise 2025 win for Outstanding Drama Series. Voters appear drawn to the medical drama’s realistic portrayal of emergency care, strong ensemble performances led by Noah Wyle, and expanded critical momentum in a year lacking a single breakout rival. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail with far fewer nods. An upset would require a late surge in guild or critics’ support for a newcomer or a coordinated push against the incumbent during final voting, though historical patterns favor the nomination leader here.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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