The Traitors' status as the clear frontrunner with an 86.6% implied probability stems from its back-to-back wins in the category at the prior two Emmys ceremonies, creating strong momentum for a potential three-peat as voting continues ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The Peacock series earned its 2026 nomination alongside established competitors RuPaul’s Drag Race, Survivor, Dancing with the Stars, and Top Chef, but industry predictors including guild and critics' consensus highlight its consistent critical reception, innovative format, and host Alan Cumming's appeal as decisive advantages. Historical patterns favor recent winners in this category absent major shifts, though late voter sentiment or standout season performance could introduce limited volatility in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series
“The Traitors” 86.5%
“Survivor” 4.0%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 3.9%
“Dancing with the Stars” 2.9%
$25,468 Vol.
$25,468 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Traitors”
87%
“Survivor”
4%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
4%
“Dancing with the Stars”
3%
“Top Chef”
1%
“The Traitors” 86.5%
“Survivor” 4.0%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 3.9%
“Dancing with the Stars” 2.9%
$25,468 Vol.
$25,468 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Traitors”
$10,138 Vol.
87%
“Survivor”
$8,778 Vol.
4%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
$3,373 Vol.
4%
“Dancing with the Stars”
$1,672 Vol.
3%
“Top Chef”
$1,507 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors' status as the clear frontrunner with an 86.6% implied probability stems from its back-to-back wins in the category at the prior two Emmys ceremonies, creating strong momentum for a potential three-peat as voting continues ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The Peacock series earned its 2026 nomination alongside established competitors RuPaul’s Drag Race, Survivor, Dancing with the Stars, and Top Chef, but industry predictors including guild and critics' consensus highlight its consistent critical reception, innovative format, and host Alan Cumming's appeal as decisive advantages. Historical patterns favor recent winners in this category absent major shifts, though late voter sentiment or standout season performance could introduce limited volatility in the final weeks.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$25,468End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors' status as the clear frontrunner with an 86.6% implied probability stems from its back-to-back wins in the category at the prior two Emmys ceremonies, creating strong momentum for a potential three-peat as voting continues ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The Peacock series earned its 2026 nomination alongside established competitors RuPaul’s Drag Race, Survivor, Dancing with the Stars, and Top Chef, but industry predictors including guild and critics' consensus highlight its consistent critical reception, innovative format, and host Alan Cumming's appeal as decisive advantages. Historical patterns favor recent winners in this category absent major shifts, though late voter sentiment or standout season performance could introduce limited volatility in the final weeks.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,468End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Traitors' status as the clear frontrunner with an 86.6% implied probability stems from its back-to-back wins in the category at the prior two Emmys ceremonies, creating strong momentum for a potential three-peat as voting continues ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The Peacock series earned its 2026 nomination alongside established competitors RuPaul’s Drag Race, Survivor, Dancing with the Stars, and Top Chef, but industry predictors including guild and critics' consensus highlight its consistent critical reception, innovative format, and host Alan Cumming's appeal as decisive advantages. Historical patterns favor recent winners in this category absent major shifts, though late voter sentiment or standout season performance could introduce limited volatility in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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