Elon Musk’s posting pace on X, typically 30–50 posts daily including replies and quotes, anchors trader sentiment for the September 1–8 window around the 160–219 tweet buckets. Recent trackers show 180–199 settling for the prior week and consistent 40–50 daily averages in August 2026, with volume rising on Tesla or xAI news and dipping during quieter stretches. The tight spread across leading outcomes reflects high week-to-week variance driven by unpredictable political commentary or company milestones rather than any single scheduled catalyst. Market-implied odds capture this behavioral range, where even modest shifts in engagement or external events could redistribute probability among the clustered mid-tier buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 18%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
240-259 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
8%
120-139
4%
140-159
13%
160-179
18%
180-199
18%
200-219
17%
220-239
12%
240-259
15%
260-279
7%
280-299
6%
300-319
8%
320-339
6%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
180-199 18%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
240-259 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
<20
$20 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$28 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$20 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$20 Vol.
1%
80-99
$96 Vol.
1%
100-119
$34 Vol.
8%
120-139
$21 Vol.
4%
140-159
$38 Vol.
13%
160-179
$38 Vol.
18%
180-199
$46 Vol.
18%
200-219
$33 Vol.
17%
220-239
$13 Vol.
12%
240-259
$40 Vol.
15%
260-279
$35 Vol.
7%
280-299
$21 Vol.
6%
300-319
$33 Vol.
8%
320-339
$20 Vol.
6%
340-359
$8 Vol.
1%
360-379
$8 Vol.
1%
380-399
$8 Vol.
1%
400-419
$8 Vol.
1%
420-439
$8 Vol.
1%
440-459
$8 Vol.
1%
460-479
$20 Vol.
1%
480-499
$28 Vol.
1%
500+
$8 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X, typically 30–50 posts daily including replies and quotes, anchors trader sentiment for the September 1–8 window around the 160–219 tweet buckets. Recent trackers show 180–199 settling for the prior week and consistent 40–50 daily averages in August 2026, with volume rising on Tesla or xAI news and dipping during quieter stretches. The tight spread across leading outcomes reflects high week-to-week variance driven by unpredictable political commentary or company milestones rather than any single scheduled catalyst. Market-implied odds capture this behavioral range, where even modest shifts in engagement or external events could redistribute probability among the clustered mid-tier buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$660End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X, typically 30–50 posts daily including replies and quotes, anchors trader sentiment for the September 1–8 window around the 160–219 tweet buckets. Recent trackers show 180–199 settling for the prior week and consistent 40–50 daily averages in August 2026, with volume rising on Tesla or xAI news and dipping during quieter stretches. The tight spread across leading outcomes reflects high week-to-week variance driven by unpredictable political commentary or company milestones rather than any single scheduled catalyst. Market-implied odds capture this behavioral range, where even modest shifts in engagement or external events could redistribute probability among the clustered mid-tier buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$660End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X, typically 30–50 posts daily including replies and quotes, anchors trader sentiment for the September 1–8 window around the 160–219 tweet buckets. Recent trackers show 180–199 settling for the prior week and consistent 40–50 daily averages in August 2026, with volume rising on Tesla or xAI news and dipping during quieter stretches. The tight spread across leading outcomes reflects high week-to-week variance driven by unpredictable political commentary or company milestones rather than any single scheduled catalyst. Market-implied odds capture this behavioral range, where even modest shifts in engagement or external events could redistribute probability among the clustered mid-tier buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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