Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its record-shattering dominance on the Billboard Hot 100, including 19 non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 through late August with sustained strength in streaming, radio airplay, and sales. The country crossover hit's momentum—bolstered by historical precedents for long-running leaders and minimal competition from newer releases—positions it favorably for the tracking period influencing the week of September 12. Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" (18%) benefits from strong debut streaming but trails in overall metrics, while Dolly Parton's classics like "Jolene" and "9 to 5" (15.5% each) see temporary boosts from her recent passing yet face barriers to immediate Hot 100 supremacy. Upcoming chart updates and any major new drops remain key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 12
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 12
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 67%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 18%
Jolene - Dolly Parton 15%
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
67%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
18%
Jolene - Dolly Parton
15%
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton
15%
Boston - Stella Lefty
15%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
15%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
15%
Be Her - Ella Langley
15%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 67%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 18%
Jolene - Dolly Parton 15%
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$54 Vol.
67%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$0 Vol.
18%
Jolene - Dolly Parton
$0 Vol.
15%
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton
$0 Vol.
15%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$0 Vol.
15%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$10 Vol.
15%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$10 Vol.
15%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$10 Vol.
15%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its record-shattering dominance on the Billboard Hot 100, including 19 non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 through late August with sustained strength in streaming, radio airplay, and sales. The country crossover hit's momentum—bolstered by historical precedents for long-running leaders and minimal competition from newer releases—positions it favorably for the tracking period influencing the week of September 12. Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" (18%) benefits from strong debut streaming but trails in overall metrics, while Dolly Parton's classics like "Jolene" and "9 to 5" (15.5% each) see temporary boosts from her recent passing yet face barriers to immediate Hot 100 supremacy. Upcoming chart updates and any major new drops remain key swing factors.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
Volume
$83End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its record-shattering dominance on the Billboard Hot 100, including 19 non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 through late August with sustained strength in streaming, radio airplay, and sales. The country crossover hit's momentum—bolstered by historical precedents for long-running leaders and minimal competition from newer releases—positions it favorably for the tracking period influencing the week of September 12. Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" (18%) benefits from strong debut streaming but trails in overall metrics, while Dolly Parton's classics like "Jolene" and "9 to 5" (15.5% each) see temporary boosts from her recent passing yet face barriers to immediate Hot 100 supremacy. Upcoming chart updates and any major new drops remain key swing factors.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$83End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its record-shattering dominance on the Billboard Hot 100, including 19 non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 through late August with sustained strength in streaming, radio airplay, and sales. The country crossover hit's momentum—bolstered by historical precedents for long-running leaders and minimal competition from newer releases—positions it favorably for the tracking period influencing the week of September 12. Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" (18%) benefits from strong debut streaming but trails in overall metrics, while Dolly Parton's classics like "Jolene" and "9 to 5" (15.5% each) see temporary boosts from her recent passing yet face barriers to immediate Hot 100 supremacy. Upcoming chart updates and any major new drops remain key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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