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2026 Song of the Summer

icon for 2026 Song of the Summer

2026 Song of the Summer

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 3.6%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless <1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike <1%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks <1%

Polymarket

$21,156 Vol.

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 3.6%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless <1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike <1%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks <1%

Polymarket

$21,156 Vol.

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$4,503 Vol.

4%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless

$4,859 Vol.

1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike

$1,797 Vol.

1%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks

$1,734 Vol.

1%

CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro

$1,052 Vol.

<1%

Kingdom of Fear - Cameron Whitcomb

$1,819 Vol.

<1%

Bangaranga - DARA

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

Talk To You - ANOTR & 54 Ultra

$1,141 Vol.

<1%

Raindance - Dave & Tems

$1,296 Vol.

<1%

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson

$1,582 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).The 2026 Song of the Summer market reflects a fragmented field with no single track achieving breakout dominance through mid-to-late August. "Other" leads at 50% implied probability, while listed contenders like Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” sit at just 3.9%, underscoring trader views that streaming metrics, Billboard chart trajectories, and cultural traction remain too dispersed for a clear frontrunner. Early momentum from Drake’s “Janice STFU” on Billboard’s Songs of the Summer chart and Spotify’s May predictions for dance and pop cuts (including Bebe Rexha & Faithless and ANOTR tracks) has not translated into sustained leads. Factors such as genre diversity, release timing, and competition from emerging releases continue to keep probabilities closely matched, with final chart lock and social engagement still ahead.

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Volume
$21,156
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).The 2026 Song of the Summer market reflects a fragmented field with no single track achieving breakout dominance through mid-to-late August. "Other" leads at 50% implied probability, while listed contenders like Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” sit at just 3.9%, underscoring trader views that streaming metrics, Billboard chart trajectories, and cultural traction remain too dispersed for a clear frontrunner. Early momentum from Drake’s “Janice STFU” on Billboard’s Songs of the Summer chart and Spotify’s May predictions for dance and pop cuts (including Bebe Rexha & Faithless and ANOTR tracks) has not translated into sustained leads. Factors such as genre diversity, release timing, and competition from emerging releases continue to keep probabilities closely matched, with final chart lock and social engagement still ahead.

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Volume
$21,156
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Song of the Summer" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at 4%, followed by "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Song of the Summer" has generated $21.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Song of the Summer," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "2026 Song of the Summer" is "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at just 4%, with "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" close behind at 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "2026 Song of the Summer" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.