MrBeast’s latest challenge upload, “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000,” is tracking in the mid-74M to low-76M range after several days on YouTube, which explains why traders have clustered implied probabilities tightly around the 74-75M and 75-76M brackets. Steady hourly view velocity, strong algorithmic amplification typical of his high-stakes formats, and historical first-week patterns for comparable mid-tier releases have kept momentum predictable rather than allowing one outcome to dominate. The channel’s massive subscriber base and cross-platform clip strategy provide a reliable floor, while late-week retention curves, thumbnail performance, and any unexpected plateau remain the main swing factors ahead of the 168-hour resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)
75-76M 34%
74-75M 33%
76-77M 11%
73-74M 9%
<72M
1%
72-73M
4%
73-74M
9%
74-75M
33%
75-76M
34%
76-77M
11%
77-78M
6%
78-79M
1%
79M+
<1%
75-76M 34%
74-75M 33%
76-77M 11%
73-74M 9%
<72M
1%
72-73M
4%
73-74M
9%
74-75M
33%
75-76M
34%
76-77M
11%
77-78M
6%
78-79M
1%
79M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s latest challenge upload, “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000,” is tracking in the mid-74M to low-76M range after several days on YouTube, which explains why traders have clustered implied probabilities tightly around the 74-75M and 75-76M brackets. Steady hourly view velocity, strong algorithmic amplification typical of his high-stakes formats, and historical first-week patterns for comparable mid-tier releases have kept momentum predictable rather than allowing one outcome to dominate. The channel’s massive subscriber base and cross-platform clip strategy provide a reliable floor, while late-week retention curves, thumbnail performance, and any unexpected plateau remain the main swing factors ahead of the 168-hour resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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