U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed to around $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026, supported by elevated crude benchmarks near $83–$88 per barrel amid lingering Middle East supply risks and tight distillate inventories, though recent diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows has eased some immediate pressures. Record Lower-48 crude output, stable weekly EIA inventory data, and softer seasonal demand have capped sharper gains, keeping the national average well below the $4.25 threshold that would trigger resolution on the Polymarket contract. With only days remaining until the August 31 close, trader sentiment reflects limited upside catalysts, as any final-week volatility would need to overcome structural supply abundance to push pump prices materially higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$11,774 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
↑ $5.00
1%
↑ $4.75
2%
↑ $4.50
4%
↑ $4.25
6%
↓ $3.90
3%
↓ $3.70
4%
↓ $3.50
2%
↓ $3.25
1%
↓ $3.00
1%
↓ $2.50
1%
$11,774 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$2,420 Vol.
1%
↑ $4.75
$446 Vol.
2%
↑ $4.50
$2,703 Vol.
4%
↑ $4.25
$1,924 Vol.
6%
↓ $3.90
$597 Vol.
3%
↓ $3.70
$1,511 Vol.
4%
↓ $3.50
$369 Vol.
2%
↓ $3.25
$515 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.00
$801 Vol.
1%
↓ $2.50
$489 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed to around $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026, supported by elevated crude benchmarks near $83–$88 per barrel amid lingering Middle East supply risks and tight distillate inventories, though recent diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows has eased some immediate pressures. Record Lower-48 crude output, stable weekly EIA inventory data, and softer seasonal demand have capped sharper gains, keeping the national average well below the $4.25 threshold that would trigger resolution on the Polymarket contract. With only days remaining until the August 31 close, trader sentiment reflects limited upside catalysts, as any final-week volatility would need to overcome structural supply abundance to push pump prices materially higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$11,774End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed to around $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026, supported by elevated crude benchmarks near $83–$88 per barrel amid lingering Middle East supply risks and tight distillate inventories, though recent diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows has eased some immediate pressures. Record Lower-48 crude output, stable weekly EIA inventory data, and softer seasonal demand have capped sharper gains, keeping the national average well below the $4.25 threshold that would trigger resolution on the Polymarket contract. With only days remaining until the August 31 close, trader sentiment reflects limited upside catalysts, as any final-week volatility would need to overcome structural supply abundance to push pump prices materially higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$11,774End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed to around $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026, supported by elevated crude benchmarks near $83–$88 per barrel amid lingering Middle East supply risks and tight distillate inventories, though recent diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows has eased some immediate pressures. Record Lower-48 crude output, stable weekly EIA inventory data, and softer seasonal demand have capped sharper gains, keeping the national average well below the $4.25 threshold that would trigger resolution on the Polymarket contract. With only days remaining until the August 31 close, trader sentiment reflects limited upside catalysts, as any final-week volatility would need to overcome structural supply abundance to push pump prices materially higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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