US retail gasoline prices, currently averaging $4.05–$4.10 per gallon nationally per AAA and GasBuddy data as of August 24, have climbed on supply constraints from Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and lingering Middle East tensions around the Strait of Hormuz that support Brent crude near $92 per barrel. These factors have lifted pump prices despite softer WTI at approximately $85 and recent weekly gains of 3–5 cents, with markets pricing in further upside into Labor Day. Trader focus centers on whether recent momentum sustains through the final week, as weak seasonal demand and any easing in refined-product shortages could cap further advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,037 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
↑ $5.00
2%
↑ $4.75
2%
↑ $4.50
4%
↑ $4.25
12%
↓ $3.90
3%
↓ $3.70
4%
↓ $3.50
1%
↓ $3.25
1%
↓ $3.00
2%
↓ $2.50
1%
$10,037 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$2,369 Vol.
2%
↑ $4.75
$366 Vol.
2%
↑ $4.50
$2,289 Vol.
4%
↑ $4.25
$1,604 Vol.
12%
↓ $3.90
$587 Vol.
3%
↓ $3.70
$1,511 Vol.
4%
↓ $3.50
$276 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.25
$348 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.00
$299 Vol.
2%
↓ $2.50
$389 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices, currently averaging $4.05–$4.10 per gallon nationally per AAA and GasBuddy data as of August 24, have climbed on supply constraints from Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and lingering Middle East tensions around the Strait of Hormuz that support Brent crude near $92 per barrel. These factors have lifted pump prices despite softer WTI at approximately $85 and recent weekly gains of 3–5 cents, with markets pricing in further upside into Labor Day. Trader focus centers on whether recent momentum sustains through the final week, as weak seasonal demand and any easing in refined-product shortages could cap further advances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$10,037End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices, currently averaging $4.05–$4.10 per gallon nationally per AAA and GasBuddy data as of August 24, have climbed on supply constraints from Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and lingering Middle East tensions around the Strait of Hormuz that support Brent crude near $92 per barrel. These factors have lifted pump prices despite softer WTI at approximately $85 and recent weekly gains of 3–5 cents, with markets pricing in further upside into Labor Day. Trader focus centers on whether recent momentum sustains through the final week, as weak seasonal demand and any easing in refined-product shortages could cap further advances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$10,037End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...US retail gasoline prices, currently averaging $4.05–$4.10 per gallon nationally per AAA and GasBuddy data as of August 24, have climbed on supply constraints from Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and lingering Middle East tensions around the Strait of Hormuz that support Brent crude near $92 per barrel. These factors have lifted pump prices despite softer WTI at approximately $85 and recent weekly gains of 3–5 cents, with markets pricing in further upside into Labor Day. Trader focus centers on whether recent momentum sustains through the final week, as weak seasonal demand and any easing in refined-product shortages could cap further advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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