Heightened regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and cross-border conflicts affecting Lebanon, prompted the U.S. State Department to order the departure of non-emergency personnel and families from the Beirut embassy in February 2026. The embassy has remained on ordered departure status through August 2026, with routine consular services suspended, Level 4 travel advisories in place, and staff directed to limit movements amid risks of airstrikes, unrest, and escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic statements, U.S. military positioning, and any Lebanese security incidents for signals of a full embassy closure or further drawdown, while noting that core operations continue and commercial flight options have stayed available without government-assisted evacuation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$117,835 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
4%
$117,835 Vol.
December 31
$23,733 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and cross-border conflicts affecting Lebanon, prompted the U.S. State Department to order the departure of non-emergency personnel and families from the Beirut embassy in February 2026. The embassy has remained on ordered departure status through August 2026, with routine consular services suspended, Level 4 travel advisories in place, and staff directed to limit movements amid risks of airstrikes, unrest, and escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic statements, U.S. military positioning, and any Lebanese security incidents for signals of a full embassy closure or further drawdown, while noting that core operations continue and commercial flight options have stayed available without government-assisted evacuation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$117,835End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and cross-border conflicts affecting Lebanon, prompted the U.S. State Department to order the departure of non-emergency personnel and families from the Beirut embassy in February 2026. The embassy has remained on ordered departure status through August 2026, with routine consular services suspended, Level 4 travel advisories in place, and staff directed to limit movements amid risks of airstrikes, unrest, and escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic statements, U.S. military positioning, and any Lebanese security incidents for signals of a full embassy closure or further drawdown, while noting that core operations continue and commercial flight options have stayed available without government-assisted evacuation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$117,835End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and cross-border conflicts affecting Lebanon, prompted the U.S. State Department to order the departure of non-emergency personnel and families from the Beirut embassy in February 2026. The embassy has remained on ordered departure status through August 2026, with routine consular services suspended, Level 4 travel advisories in place, and staff directed to limit movements amid risks of airstrikes, unrest, and escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic statements, U.S. military positioning, and any Lebanese security incidents for signals of a full embassy closure or further drawdown, while noting that core operations continue and commercial flight options have stayed available without government-assisted evacuation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions