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icon for Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

icon for Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement 71%

Likud 25%

Yashar 1.3%

Together <1%

Polymarket

$30,570 Vol.

No Endorsement 71%

Likud 25%

Yashar 1.3%

Together <1%

Polymarket

$30,570 Vol.

No Endorsement

$6,264 Vol.

71%

Likud

$14,954 Vol.

25%

Yashar

$1,256 Vol.

1%

Together

$1,181 Vol.

<1%

Otzma Yehudit

$1,110 Vol.

<1%

Religious Zionism

$866 Vol.

<1%

Yisrael Beiteinu

$451 Vol.

<1%

New Hope

$450 Vol.

<1%

Shas

$579 Vol.

<1%

Hadash–Ta'al

$371 Vol.

<1%

Noam

$446 Vol.

<1%

UTJ

$1,104 Vol.

<1%

Democrats

$446 Vol.

<1%

Blue and White

$1,092 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.**Recent statements from US President Donald Trump have reinforced trader expectations of neutrality in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** In mid-August remarks, Trump described staying out of the race as most appropriate while leaving open a future endorsement, following weeks of avoiding explicit support for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party despite their longstanding ties. Disagreements over military operations in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran policy, combined with Netanyahu's coalition polling below the 61-seat majority threshold, have cooled prior signals of backing. Rivals including Gadi Eisenkot of Yashar and Naftali Bennett of Together have privately urged Trump through intermediaries to remain neutral. These dynamics position "No Endorsement" as the leading outcome, with Likud trailing and smaller parties showing negligible implied probabilities.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.

In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.

In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.

Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$30,570
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.**Recent statements from US President Donald Trump have reinforced trader expectations of neutrality in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** In mid-August remarks, Trump described staying out of the race as most appropriate while leaving open a future endorsement, following weeks of avoiding explicit support for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party despite their longstanding ties. Disagreements over military operations in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran policy, combined with Netanyahu's coalition polling below the 61-seat majority threshold, have cooled prior signals of backing. Rivals including Gadi Eisenkot of Yashar and Naftali Bennett of Together have privately urged Trump through intermediaries to remain neutral. These dynamics position "No Endorsement" as the leading outcome, with Likud trailing and smaller parties showing negligible implied probabilities.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.

In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.

In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.

Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$30,570
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Endorsement" at 71%, followed by "Likud" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?" has generated $30.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?" is "No Endorsement" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Likud" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.