**No recount appears likely by the August 31 deadline, reflecting the confirmed narrow but decisive primary results and absence of any request.** David Crowley defeated Francesca Hong by roughly 3,800 votes (about 0.48% of roughly 788,000 total ballots cast) in the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, a margin well within the 1% threshold that permits a candidate-requested recount but above the 0.25% line where the state would cover costs. Wisconsin law requires no automatic recount; a trailing candidate must file within three business days after the final county canvass statements reach the Wisconsin Elections Commission. As of late August, official tallies show Crowley ahead with 99% of precincts reporting, canvassing has advanced without reported irregularities, and Hong has not filed a recount petition. Trader consensus at 99.9% for “No” rests on this timeline and procedural reality: with the window closing rapidly and no active challenge mounted, an order by August 31 is improbable. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain narrow but include an unexpected late filing by Hong or another candidate before the canvass deadline passes, a court intervention altering certification timing, or discovery of a material tabulation error during final review. No such developments have materialized in available reporting.