Recent polling in Maine’s 2026 races shows Democratic nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the Senate contest, with averages around Jackson +2, while Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a clearer advantage over Republican Bobby Charles in the open gubernatorial race. These trends, combined with the state’s partisan lean and voter priorities on issues such as housing and healthcare access, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic sweep of both offices as the leading outcome. The sizable “Other” probability reflects the presence of competitive independents, notably Rick Bennett, who could split the vote and alter the governorship result. A Republican sweep or split outcomes remain possible but appear less likely given current polling margins and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the June primaries. Upcoming fall debates and additional surveys could still influence these implied probabilities before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDems sweep 64%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 23%
Reps sweep 13%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 4.6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
64%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
23%
Reps sweep
13%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
5%
Dems sweep 64%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 23%
Reps sweep 13%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 4.6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$1,528 Vol.
64%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$442 Vol.
23%
Reps sweep
$212 Vol.
13%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$91 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling in Maine’s 2026 races shows Democratic nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the Senate contest, with averages around Jackson +2, while Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a clearer advantage over Republican Bobby Charles in the open gubernatorial race. These trends, combined with the state’s partisan lean and voter priorities on issues such as housing and healthcare access, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic sweep of both offices as the leading outcome. The sizable “Other” probability reflects the presence of competitive independents, notably Rick Bennett, who could split the vote and alter the governorship result. A Republican sweep or split outcomes remain possible but appear less likely given current polling margins and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the June primaries. Upcoming fall debates and additional surveys could still influence these implied probabilities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$2,273End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling in Maine’s 2026 races shows Democratic nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the Senate contest, with averages around Jackson +2, while Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a clearer advantage over Republican Bobby Charles in the open gubernatorial race. These trends, combined with the state’s partisan lean and voter priorities on issues such as housing and healthcare access, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic sweep of both offices as the leading outcome. The sizable “Other” probability reflects the presence of competitive independents, notably Rick Bennett, who could split the vote and alter the governorship result. A Republican sweep or split outcomes remain possible but appear less likely given current polling margins and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the June primaries. Upcoming fall debates and additional surveys could still influence these implied probabilities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,273End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Maine’s 2026 races shows Democratic nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the Senate contest, with averages around Jackson +2, while Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a clearer advantage over Republican Bobby Charles in the open gubernatorial race. These trends, combined with the state’s partisan lean and voter priorities on issues such as housing and healthcare access, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic sweep of both offices as the leading outcome. The sizable “Other” probability reflects the presence of competitive independents, notably Rick Bennett, who could split the vote and alter the governorship result. A Republican sweep or split outcomes remain possible but appear less likely given current polling margins and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the June primaries. Upcoming fall debates and additional surveys could still influence these implied probabilities before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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