Trump's current term as president runs through 2029 following the 2024 election outcome, with no scheduled election, term limit, or constitutional trigger for removal by August 31, 2026. The one-week window makes formal processes such as impeachment, Senate conviction, or invocation of the 25th Amendment logistically impossible absent an immediate and unforeseen event. Trader consensus at 99.7% reflects this structural reality, as no recent legislative, judicial, or diplomatic developments have signaled any accelerated timeline for departure. While a sudden health crisis, resignation announcement, or extraordinary legal ruling could theoretically alter the outcome before month-end, historical precedents show such shifts require far longer confirmation and transition periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1% chance
$2,055,882 Vol.
$2,055,882 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1% chance
$2,055,882 Vol.
$2,055,882 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's current term as president runs through 2029 following the 2024 election outcome, with no scheduled election, term limit, or constitutional trigger for removal by August 31, 2026. The one-week window makes formal processes such as impeachment, Senate conviction, or invocation of the 25th Amendment logistically impossible absent an immediate and unforeseen event. Trader consensus at 99.7% reflects this structural reality, as no recent legislative, judicial, or diplomatic developments have signaled any accelerated timeline for departure. While a sudden health crisis, resignation announcement, or extraordinary legal ruling could theoretically alter the outcome before month-end, historical precedents show such shifts require far longer confirmation and transition periods.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Volume
$2,055,882End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's current term as president runs through 2029 following the 2024 election outcome, with no scheduled election, term limit, or constitutional trigger for removal by August 31, 2026. The one-week window makes formal processes such as impeachment, Senate conviction, or invocation of the 25th Amendment logistically impossible absent an immediate and unforeseen event. Trader consensus at 99.7% reflects this structural reality, as no recent legislative, judicial, or diplomatic developments have signaled any accelerated timeline for departure. While a sudden health crisis, resignation announcement, or extraordinary legal ruling could theoretically alter the outcome before month-end, historical precedents show such shifts require far longer confirmation and transition periods.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,055,882End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's current term as president runs through 2029 following the 2024 election outcome, with no scheduled election, term limit, or constitutional trigger for removal by August 31, 2026. The one-week window makes formal processes such as impeachment, Senate conviction, or invocation of the 25th Amendment logistically impossible absent an immediate and unforeseen event. Trader consensus at 99.7% reflects this structural reality, as no recent legislative, judicial, or diplomatic developments have signaled any accelerated timeline for departure. While a sudden health crisis, resignation announcement, or extraordinary legal ruling could theoretically alter the outcome before month-end, historical precedents show such shifts require far longer confirmation and transition periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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