Donald Trump's second presidential term, which began in January 2025 and runs through January 2029, features no public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures indicating an early exit. Historical patterns show second-term presidents completing their mandates absent major legal proceedings, severe medical events, or family circumstances, none of which have materialized in recent months. Trader consensus at 96.3% for "No" aligns with these base rates and the absence of scheduled triggers such as confirmation votes or investigations that might prompt resignation. Late-breaking developments including acute health crises or unprecedented scandals could still shift probabilities, though current primary-source signals provide no basis for expecting such outcomes before the December 31, 2026, resolution date.