Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet blackouts and severe throttling to limit information flow during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict. The longest such disruption began on January 8, 2026, amid nationwide protests driven by economic deterioration and currency collapse, then extended through the February–March 2026 phase of U.S. and Israeli military operations, lasting roughly 88 days with connectivity falling below 5 percent of normal levels. Partial restoration occurred in late May 2026 under presidential directive, yet service remains slow, many international platforms stay blocked, and a tiered “Internet Pro” whitelist system restricts access for most users while favoring approved entities. Traders assess the probability of a new total blackout by monitoring protest activity, economic indicators, diplomatic negotiations, and statements from the Supreme National Security Council or IRGC on information controls. Ongoing power outages and infrastructure strain add further volatility to connectivity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$240,863 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
2%
September 30
10%
December 31
34%
$240,863 Vol.
August 31
$172,753 Vol.
2%
September 30
$3,984 Vol.
10%
December 31
$10,892 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet blackouts and severe throttling to limit information flow during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict. The longest such disruption began on January 8, 2026, amid nationwide protests driven by economic deterioration and currency collapse, then extended through the February–March 2026 phase of U.S. and Israeli military operations, lasting roughly 88 days with connectivity falling below 5 percent of normal levels. Partial restoration occurred in late May 2026 under presidential directive, yet service remains slow, many international platforms stay blocked, and a tiered “Internet Pro” whitelist system restricts access for most users while favoring approved entities. Traders assess the probability of a new total blackout by monitoring protest activity, economic indicators, diplomatic negotiations, and statements from the Supreme National Security Council or IRGC on information controls. Ongoing power outages and infrastructure strain add further volatility to connectivity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$240,863End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet blackouts and severe throttling to limit information flow during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict. The longest such disruption began on January 8, 2026, amid nationwide protests driven by economic deterioration and currency collapse, then extended through the February–March 2026 phase of U.S. and Israeli military operations, lasting roughly 88 days with connectivity falling below 5 percent of normal levels. Partial restoration occurred in late May 2026 under presidential directive, yet service remains slow, many international platforms stay blocked, and a tiered “Internet Pro” whitelist system restricts access for most users while favoring approved entities. Traders assess the probability of a new total blackout by monitoring protest activity, economic indicators, diplomatic negotiations, and statements from the Supreme National Security Council or IRGC on information controls. Ongoing power outages and infrastructure strain add further volatility to connectivity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$240,863End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet blackouts and severe throttling to limit information flow during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict. The longest such disruption began on January 8, 2026, amid nationwide protests driven by economic deterioration and currency collapse, then extended through the February–March 2026 phase of U.S. and Israeli military operations, lasting roughly 88 days with connectivity falling below 5 percent of normal levels. Partial restoration occurred in late May 2026 under presidential directive, yet service remains slow, many international platforms stay blocked, and a tiered “Internet Pro” whitelist system restricts access for most users while favoring approved entities. Traders assess the probability of a new total blackout by monitoring protest activity, economic indicators, diplomatic negotiations, and statements from the Supreme National Security Council or IRGC on information controls. Ongoing power outages and infrastructure strain add further volatility to connectivity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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