Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and the open gubernatorial seat created by term limits on incumbent Bill Lee have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory. Marsha Blackburn secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with 43.6 percent of the vote, ahead of John Rose and Monty Fritts, leveraging her U.S. Senate profile and alignment with conservative priorities to consolidate support. The Democratic primary produced Jerri Green as nominee, but the party has not won a statewide race since 2006, limiting its path in a state favoring Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Polling and forecasting models reflect this structural edge, projecting double-digit Republican advantages. Only late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTennessee Governor Election Winner
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$5,502 Vol.
96%
Democrat
$2,779 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and the open gubernatorial seat created by term limits on incumbent Bill Lee have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory. Marsha Blackburn secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with 43.6 percent of the vote, ahead of John Rose and Monty Fritts, leveraging her U.S. Senate profile and alignment with conservative priorities to consolidate support. The Democratic primary produced Jerri Green as nominee, but the party has not won a statewide race since 2006, limiting its path in a state favoring Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Polling and forecasting models reflect this structural edge, projecting double-digit Republican advantages. Only late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$8,280End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and the open gubernatorial seat created by term limits on incumbent Bill Lee have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory. Marsha Blackburn secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with 43.6 percent of the vote, ahead of John Rose and Monty Fritts, leveraging her U.S. Senate profile and alignment with conservative priorities to consolidate support. The Democratic primary produced Jerri Green as nominee, but the party has not won a statewide race since 2006, limiting its path in a state favoring Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Polling and forecasting models reflect this structural edge, projecting double-digit Republican advantages. Only late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$8,280End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and the open gubernatorial seat created by term limits on incumbent Bill Lee have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory. Marsha Blackburn secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with 43.6 percent of the vote, ahead of John Rose and Monty Fritts, leveraging her U.S. Senate profile and alignment with conservative priorities to consolidate support. The Democratic primary produced Jerri Green as nominee, but the party has not won a statewide race since 2006, limiting its path in a state favoring Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Polling and forecasting models reflect this structural edge, projecting double-digit Republican advantages. Only late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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