Charlie Crist leads the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff market at 86.5% implied probability after topping the August 18, 2026 nonpartisan primary with approximately 35% of the vote, nearly doubling incumbent Ken Welch’s 20-21% share. No candidate reached the 50% threshold in the six-person field, sending Crist and Welch to the November 3 general election. Crist’s margin reflected stronger voter support in the primary round, while Welch advanced as the second-place finisher despite criticism over residency timing and governance record. Other listed candidates remain at 50% as they did not advance. The runoff contest now centers on turnout, endorsements, and campaign messaging between the two finalists in the citywide vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSt. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner
St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner
$55,950 Vol.
$55,950 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Charlie Crist
87%
Ken Welch
13%
$55,950 Vol.
$55,950 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Charlie Crist
$45,305 Vol.
87%
Ken Welch
$7,454 Vol.
13%
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.Charlie Crist leads the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff market at 86.5% implied probability after topping the August 18, 2026 nonpartisan primary with approximately 35% of the vote, nearly doubling incumbent Ken Welch’s 20-21% share. No candidate reached the 50% threshold in the six-person field, sending Crist and Welch to the November 3 general election. Crist’s margin reflected stronger voter support in the primary round, while Welch advanced as the second-place finisher despite criticism over residency timing and governance record. Other listed candidates remain at 50% as they did not advance. The runoff contest now centers on turnout, endorsements, and campaign messaging between the two finalists in the citywide vote.
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$55,950End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.Charlie Crist leads the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff market at 86.5% implied probability after topping the August 18, 2026 nonpartisan primary with approximately 35% of the vote, nearly doubling incumbent Ken Welch’s 20-21% share. No candidate reached the 50% threshold in the six-person field, sending Crist and Welch to the November 3 general election. Crist’s margin reflected stronger voter support in the primary round, while Welch advanced as the second-place finisher despite criticism over residency timing and governance record. Other listed candidates remain at 50% as they did not advance. The runoff contest now centers on turnout, endorsements, and campaign messaging between the two finalists in the citywide vote.
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Volume
$55,950End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Charlie Crist leads the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff market at 86.5% implied probability after topping the August 18, 2026 nonpartisan primary with approximately 35% of the vote, nearly doubling incumbent Ken Welch’s 20-21% share. No candidate reached the 50% threshold in the six-person field, sending Crist and Welch to the November 3 general election. Crist’s margin reflected stronger voter support in the primary round, while Welch advanced as the second-place finisher despite criticism over residency timing and governance record. Other listed candidates remain at 50% as they did not advance. The runoff contest now centers on turnout, endorsements, and campaign messaging between the two finalists in the citywide vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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