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Politics·Canada

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

icon for Winnipeg Mayoral Election
Politics·Canada

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Scott Gillingham 73%

Don Woodstock 6.8%

Johnny Calderon 6.3%

Mazher Alam 6.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Scott Gillingham 73%

Don Woodstock 6.8%

Johnny Calderon 6.3%

Mazher Alam 6.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Scott Gillingham

Scott Gillingham

$5,224 Vol.

73%

icon for Don Woodstock

Don Woodstock

$1,665 Vol.

7%

icon for Johnny Calderon

Johnny Calderon

$158 Vol.

6%

icon for Mazher Alam

Mazher Alam

$273 Vol.

6%

icon for Michael Vogiatzakis

Michael Vogiatzakis

$292 Vol.

5%

icon for Zachary Uminski

Zachary Uminski

$150 Vol.

1%

icon for Noah Redden

Noah Redden

$194 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joshua Pagdato

Joshua Pagdato

$214 Vol.

<1%

icon for Umar Hayat

Umar Hayat

$160 Vol.

<1%

icon for Christopher Clacio

Christopher Clacio

$180 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.**Scott Gillingham**, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor first elected in 2022, leads the 2026 mayoral race at 73% in current trader consensus, reflecting his established name recognition and record of advancing housing starts, transit network changes, and infrastructure projects ahead of the October 28 election. A crowded field of more than a dozen registered challengers—including repeat candidates such as Don Woodstock, Michael Vogiatzakis, and Johnny Calderon, along with political novices like Mazher Alam, Umar Hayat, and Zachary Uminski—remains fragmented, with most lacking prior elected experience or significant public profile. A June 2026 Probe Research poll indicated notable voter dissatisfaction with Gillingham’s handling of homelessness, addictions, and crime, yet no opponent has emerged with broad support or momentum to consolidate opposition votes. Candidate registration closes September 22, and active campaigning has remained limited through the summer months. Trader positioning appears driven primarily by the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-visibility municipal contest with a split opposition.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$8,510
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.**Scott Gillingham**, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor first elected in 2022, leads the 2026 mayoral race at 73% in current trader consensus, reflecting his established name recognition and record of advancing housing starts, transit network changes, and infrastructure projects ahead of the October 28 election. A crowded field of more than a dozen registered challengers—including repeat candidates such as Don Woodstock, Michael Vogiatzakis, and Johnny Calderon, along with political novices like Mazher Alam, Umar Hayat, and Zachary Uminski—remains fragmented, with most lacking prior elected experience or significant public profile. A June 2026 Probe Research poll indicated notable voter dissatisfaction with Gillingham’s handling of homelessness, addictions, and crime, yet no opponent has emerged with broad support or momentum to consolidate opposition votes. Candidate registration closes September 22, and active campaigning has remained limited through the summer months. Trader positioning appears driven primarily by the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-visibility municipal contest with a split opposition.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$8,510
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Winnipeg Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scott Gillingham" at 73%, followed by "Don Woodstock" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Winnipeg Mayoral Election" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Winnipeg Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" is "Scott Gillingham" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Don Woodstock" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.