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Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Ken Sim 40%

Pete Fry 31.5%

Kareem Allam 15%

William Azaroff 5.2%

Polymarket

$178,836 Vol.

Ken Sim 40%

Pete Fry 31.5%

Kareem Allam 15%

William Azaroff 5.2%

Polymarket

$178,836 Vol.

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$32,166 Vol.

40%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$30,112 Vol.

32%

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$65,882 Vol.

15%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$16,843 Vol.

5%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$4,830 Vol.

2%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$3,652 Vol.

1%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$5,145 Vol.

1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$2,983 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephanie Allen

Stephanie Allen

$687 Vol.

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$4,177 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$3,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$6,491 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$2,779 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Ken Sim maintains a modest lead in recent Vancouver polling as the ABC Vancouver incumbent, though his net favourability remains negative amid criticism of city spending and public safety measures. The race stays tight because a crowded field of challengers—including Green Party councillor Pete Fry, Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam, TEAM’s Colleen Hardwick, and others—splits progressive and renter support, while homeowners back Sim more strongly. August surveys from Research Co. showed Sim at 30% among decided voters versus 19% each for Fry and Allam, with over a quarter still undecided. Recent placement of drug-use plebiscite questions on the October 17 ballot and ongoing coalition talks among opposition parties have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current prices, where Sim leads but no candidate has consolidated a clear path to victory. Further shifts in undecided voters or issue salience around housing and rezoning could widen margins before election day.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$178,836
End Date
Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Ken Sim maintains a modest lead in recent Vancouver polling as the ABC Vancouver incumbent, though his net favourability remains negative amid criticism of city spending and public safety measures. The race stays tight because a crowded field of challengers—including Green Party councillor Pete Fry, Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam, TEAM’s Colleen Hardwick, and others—splits progressive and renter support, while homeowners back Sim more strongly. August surveys from Research Co. showed Sim at 30% among decided voters versus 19% each for Fry and Allam, with over a quarter still undecided. Recent placement of drug-use plebiscite questions on the October 17 ballot and ongoing coalition talks among opposition parties have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current prices, where Sim leads but no candidate has consolidated a clear path to victory. Further shifts in undecided voters or issue salience around housing and rezoning could widen margins before election day.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$178,836
End Date
Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Sim" at 40%, followed by "Pete Fry" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $178.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is "Ken Sim" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Fry" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.