Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 48 percent of the vote, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and strong fundraising, while David Jolly won the Democratic primary with 61 percent. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt since 1998, including repeated victories in statewide races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pre-primary polling showed Donalds ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups, and the state’s partisan fundamentals have kept his implied probability near 79 percent. Jolly’s campaign emphasizes affordability and insurance costs, but limited Democratic success in recent Florida governor contests contributes to the 22 percent pricing. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments to influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$56,534 Vol.
$56,534 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
79%
David Jolly (D)
22%
$56,534 Vol.
$56,534 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$26,148 Vol.
79%
David Jolly (D)
$30,386 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 48 percent of the vote, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and strong fundraising, while David Jolly won the Democratic primary with 61 percent. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt since 1998, including repeated victories in statewide races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pre-primary polling showed Donalds ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups, and the state’s partisan fundamentals have kept his implied probability near 79 percent. Jolly’s campaign emphasizes affordability and insurance costs, but limited Democratic success in recent Florida governor contests contributes to the 22 percent pricing. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$56,534End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 48 percent of the vote, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and strong fundraising, while David Jolly won the Democratic primary with 61 percent. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt since 1998, including repeated victories in statewide races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pre-primary polling showed Donalds ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups, and the state’s partisan fundamentals have kept his implied probability near 79 percent. Jolly’s campaign emphasizes affordability and insurance costs, but limited Democratic success in recent Florida governor contests contributes to the 22 percent pricing. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$56,534End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 48 percent of the vote, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and strong fundraising, while David Jolly won the Democratic primary with 61 percent. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt since 1998, including repeated victories in statewide races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pre-primary polling showed Donalds ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups, and the state’s partisan fundamentals have kept his implied probability near 79 percent. Jolly’s campaign emphasizes affordability and insurance costs, but limited Democratic success in recent Florida governor contests contributes to the 22 percent pricing. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments to influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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