The Santa Catarina Senate race for the state's two seats remains tightly contested among right-leaning contenders ahead of the October 2026 election, with recent Quaest polling (conducted August 20-23) showing Esperidião Amin (PP) at 19% and Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) at 16% in combined vote intentions, followed by Carol de Toni (PL) at 12% and Décio Lima (PT) at 9%. Technical ties within the margin of error reflect voter indecision (over 20% undecided plus blanks/nulls), overlapping PL-PP alliances backing Governor Jorginho Mello's reelection, and Carlos Bolsonaro's outsider status after transferring his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro, which has drawn local criticism. These factors sustain uncertainty over which candidates will separate for first and second place, with campaign strategies on regional identity and party coordination likely to influence shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Esperidião Amin 37%
Carlos Bolsonaro 37%
Carol de Toni 8%
Jeferson da Rocha <1%
$24,678 Vol.
$24,678 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Esperidião Amin
37%
Carlos Bolsonaro
37%
Carol de Toni
8%
Jeferson da Rocha
1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
1%
Marcos Dorval
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
<1%
Carol
<1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
<1%
Marlene Soccas
<1%
Esperidião Amin 37%
Carlos Bolsonaro 37%
Carol de Toni 8%
Jeferson da Rocha <1%
$24,678 Vol.
$24,678 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Esperidião Amin
$2,813 Vol.
37%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$6,335 Vol.
37%
Carol de Toni
$8,979 Vol.
8%
Jeferson da Rocha
$879 Vol.
1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$710 Vol.
1%
Marcos Dorval
$569 Vol.
<1%
Lunelli
$642 Vol.
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$663 Vol.
<1%
Carol
$608 Vol.
<1%
Décio Lima
$659 Vol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$707 Vol.
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$550 Vol.
<1%
Marlene Soccas
$565 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina Senate race for the state's two seats remains tightly contested among right-leaning contenders ahead of the October 2026 election, with recent Quaest polling (conducted August 20-23) showing Esperidião Amin (PP) at 19% and Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) at 16% in combined vote intentions, followed by Carol de Toni (PL) at 12% and Décio Lima (PT) at 9%. Technical ties within the margin of error reflect voter indecision (over 20% undecided plus blanks/nulls), overlapping PL-PP alliances backing Governor Jorginho Mello's reelection, and Carlos Bolsonaro's outsider status after transferring his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro, which has drawn local criticism. These factors sustain uncertainty over which candidates will separate for first and second place, with campaign strategies on regional identity and party coordination likely to influence shifts before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$24,678End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina Senate race for the state's two seats remains tightly contested among right-leaning contenders ahead of the October 2026 election, with recent Quaest polling (conducted August 20-23) showing Esperidião Amin (PP) at 19% and Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) at 16% in combined vote intentions, followed by Carol de Toni (PL) at 12% and Décio Lima (PT) at 9%. Technical ties within the margin of error reflect voter indecision (over 20% undecided plus blanks/nulls), overlapping PL-PP alliances backing Governor Jorginho Mello's reelection, and Carlos Bolsonaro's outsider status after transferring his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro, which has drawn local criticism. These factors sustain uncertainty over which candidates will separate for first and second place, with campaign strategies on regional identity and party coordination likely to influence shifts before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,678End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina Senate race for the state's two seats remains tightly contested among right-leaning contenders ahead of the October 2026 election, with recent Quaest polling (conducted August 20-23) showing Esperidião Amin (PP) at 19% and Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) at 16% in combined vote intentions, followed by Carol de Toni (PL) at 12% and Décio Lima (PT) at 9%. Technical ties within the margin of error reflect voter indecision (over 20% undecided plus blanks/nulls), overlapping PL-PP alliances backing Governor Jorginho Mello's reelection, and Carlos Bolsonaro's outsider status after transferring his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro, which has drawn local criticism. These factors sustain uncertainty over which candidates will separate for first and second place, with campaign strategies on regional identity and party coordination likely to influence shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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