Recent flock rebuilding after the 2024–2025 avian influenza outbreaks, combined with record-high hen productivity, has created persistent oversupply and driven U.S. retail egg prices down to $2.19 per dozen in July 2026 (BLS city average), with wholesale large white benchmarks at roughly 40.5 cents. This supply surge—flock size near 340–347 million birds and 302 eggs per hen annually—has outweighed demand, keeping prices near multi-year lows despite minor month-to-month stabilization. Trader consensus clusters around the $2.20–$2.40 brackets because August data, due September 11, will likely reflect continued low wholesale levels offset by typical seasonal demand upticks ahead of back-to-school and holiday baking, with limited near-term upside absent fresh disease or feed-cost shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.20–$2.30 30.9%
$2.30–$2.40 30%
$2.10–$2.20 21.4%
$2.40–$2.50 12%
$15,765 Vol.
$15,765 Vol.
<$1.80
<1%
$1.80–$1.90
<1%
$1.90–$2.00
1%
$2.00–$2.10
7%
$2.10–$2.20
21%
$2.20–$2.30
31%
$2.30–$2.40
30%
$2.40–$2.50
9%
$2.50–$2.60
1%
≥$2.60
1%
$2.20–$2.30 30.9%
$2.30–$2.40 30%
$2.10–$2.20 21.4%
$2.40–$2.50 12%
$15,765 Vol.
$15,765 Vol.
<$1.80
<1%
$1.80–$1.90
<1%
$1.90–$2.00
1%
$2.00–$2.10
7%
$2.10–$2.20
21%
$2.20–$2.30
31%
$2.30–$2.40
30%
$2.40–$2.50
9%
$2.50–$2.60
1%
≥$2.60
1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent flock rebuilding after the 2024–2025 avian influenza outbreaks, combined with record-high hen productivity, has created persistent oversupply and driven U.S. retail egg prices down to $2.19 per dozen in July 2026 (BLS city average), with wholesale large white benchmarks at roughly 40.5 cents. This supply surge—flock size near 340–347 million birds and 302 eggs per hen annually—has outweighed demand, keeping prices near multi-year lows despite minor month-to-month stabilization. Trader consensus clusters around the $2.20–$2.40 brackets because August data, due September 11, will likely reflect continued low wholesale levels offset by typical seasonal demand upticks ahead of back-to-school and holiday baking, with limited near-term upside absent fresh disease or feed-cost shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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