New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Darializa Avila Chevalier’s June 2026 primary victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat has positioned her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Manual “Jomo” Williams ahead of the November 3 contest. High Democratic registration, urban turnout patterns, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,667 Vol.
$39,667 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$39,667 Vol.
$39,667 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,176 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$12,491 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Darializa Avila Chevalier’s June 2026 primary victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat has positioned her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Manual “Jomo” Williams ahead of the November 3 contest. High Democratic registration, urban turnout patterns, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$39,667End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Darializa Avila Chevalier’s June 2026 primary victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat has positioned her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Manual “Jomo” Williams ahead of the November 3 contest. High Democratic registration, urban turnout patterns, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,667End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Darializa Avila Chevalier’s June 2026 primary victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat has positioned her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Manual “Jomo” Williams ahead of the November 3 contest. High Democratic registration, urban turnout patterns, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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