Texas's 13th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus for a Republican hold. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. A national political wave, major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts improbable without extraordinary developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
$16,893 Vol.
$16,893 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$16,893 Vol.
$16,893 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$3,466 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$13,428 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 13th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus for a Republican hold. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. A national political wave, major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts improbable without extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$16,893End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 13th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus for a Republican hold. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. A national political wave, major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts improbable without extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,893End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 13th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus for a Republican hold. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. A national political wave, major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts improbable without extraordinary developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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