Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna advanced unopposed through the August 18 primary in Florida’s 13th congressional district, while Democrat Leela Gray emerged as her general election opponent. The seat carries a partisan lean favoring Republicans, consistent with recent presidential results showing a double-digit margin for the GOP nominee. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns, Luna’s incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and limited structural shifts since the last redistricting cycle. With the November 3 general election still ahead, traders price the Republican outcome at 76.5 percent and the Democratic outcome at 24 percent, consistent with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-13 House Election Winner
FL-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
24%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,243 Vol.
77%
Democratic Party
$956 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna advanced unopposed through the August 18 primary in Florida’s 13th congressional district, while Democrat Leela Gray emerged as her general election opponent. The seat carries a partisan lean favoring Republicans, consistent with recent presidential results showing a double-digit margin for the GOP nominee. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns, Luna’s incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and limited structural shifts since the last redistricting cycle. With the November 3 general election still ahead, traders price the Republican outcome at 76.5 percent and the Democratic outcome at 24 percent, consistent with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$2,199End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna advanced unopposed through the August 18 primary in Florida’s 13th congressional district, while Democrat Leela Gray emerged as her general election opponent. The seat carries a partisan lean favoring Republicans, consistent with recent presidential results showing a double-digit margin for the GOP nominee. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns, Luna’s incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and limited structural shifts since the last redistricting cycle. With the November 3 general election still ahead, traders price the Republican outcome at 76.5 percent and the Democratic outcome at 24 percent, consistent with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,199End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna advanced unopposed through the August 18 primary in Florida’s 13th congressional district, while Democrat Leela Gray emerged as her general election opponent. The seat carries a partisan lean favoring Republicans, consistent with recent presidential results showing a double-digit margin for the GOP nominee. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns, Luna’s incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and limited structural shifts since the last redistricting cycle. With the November 3 general election still ahead, traders price the Republican outcome at 76.5 percent and the Democratic outcome at 24 percent, consistent with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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