The open Nevada 2nd District race features Republican David Flippo against Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson following Mark Amodei’s retirement. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including strong 2024 presidential margins outside Washoe County, anchors trader pricing near 75 percent for the GOP nominee. Flippo secured the nomination with roughly 47 percent in the June primary after receiving Donald Trump’s endorsement, while Benitez-Thompson prevailed on the Democratic side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting limited polling—only one July survey showed a narrow Democratic edge in a small subsample—and Flippo’s fundraising lead. National Democratic attention and visits have not shifted the underlying partisan baseline or most projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$29,721 Vol.
$29,721 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
23%
$29,721 Vol.
$29,721 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$15,636 Vol.
75%
Democratic Party
$14,085 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Nevada 2nd District race features Republican David Flippo against Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson following Mark Amodei’s retirement. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including strong 2024 presidential margins outside Washoe County, anchors trader pricing near 75 percent for the GOP nominee. Flippo secured the nomination with roughly 47 percent in the June primary after receiving Donald Trump’s endorsement, while Benitez-Thompson prevailed on the Democratic side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting limited polling—only one July survey showed a narrow Democratic edge in a small subsample—and Flippo’s fundraising lead. National Democratic attention and visits have not shifted the underlying partisan baseline or most projections.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$29,721End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Nevada 2nd District race features Republican David Flippo against Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson following Mark Amodei’s retirement. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including strong 2024 presidential margins outside Washoe County, anchors trader pricing near 75 percent for the GOP nominee. Flippo secured the nomination with roughly 47 percent in the June primary after receiving Donald Trump’s endorsement, while Benitez-Thompson prevailed on the Democratic side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting limited polling—only one July survey showed a narrow Democratic edge in a small subsample—and Flippo’s fundraising lead. National Democratic attention and visits have not shifted the underlying partisan baseline or most projections.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,721End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Nevada 2nd District race features Republican David Flippo against Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson following Mark Amodei’s retirement. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including strong 2024 presidential margins outside Washoe County, anchors trader pricing near 75 percent for the GOP nominee. Flippo secured the nomination with roughly 47 percent in the June primary after receiving Donald Trump’s endorsement, while Benitez-Thompson prevailed on the Democratic side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting limited polling—only one July survey showed a narrow Democratic edge in a small subsample—and Flippo’s fundraising lead. National Democratic attention and visits have not shifted the underlying partisan baseline or most projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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