Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 11th congressional district race due to her April 2026 special election victory by over 20 points and her decisive June 2026 Democratic primary win with more than 80 percent of the vote. The district’s voter registration edge, combined with Mejia’s established fundraising and organizational support, underpins the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway and minor-party candidates face structural headwinds in this suburban district. Late developments that could narrow the gap include significant national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have materialized in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,548 Vol.
$39,548 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$39,548 Vol.
$39,548 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,573 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$15,975 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 11th congressional district race due to her April 2026 special election victory by over 20 points and her decisive June 2026 Democratic primary win with more than 80 percent of the vote. The district’s voter registration edge, combined with Mejia’s established fundraising and organizational support, underpins the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway and minor-party candidates face structural headwinds in this suburban district. Late developments that could narrow the gap include significant national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$39,548End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 11th congressional district race due to her April 2026 special election victory by over 20 points and her decisive June 2026 Democratic primary win with more than 80 percent of the vote. The district’s voter registration edge, combined with Mejia’s established fundraising and organizational support, underpins the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway and minor-party candidates face structural headwinds in this suburban district. Late developments that could narrow the gap include significant national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,548End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 11th congressional district race due to her April 2026 special election victory by over 20 points and her decisive June 2026 Democratic primary win with more than 80 percent of the vote. The district’s voter registration edge, combined with Mejia’s established fundraising and organizational support, underpins the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway and minor-party candidates face structural headwinds in this suburban district. Late developments that could narrow the gap include significant national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have materialized in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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