Jason Statham’s mid-budget action thriller *Mutiny* opened to a soft $7.5 million in roughly 2,700 theaters, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for an under-$8 million debut. Pre-release tracking had pegged the Lionsgate release in the $8–12 million range, but muted marketing, mixed reviews (50% on Rotten Tomatoes), and stiff counter-programming from *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *Insidious: Out of the Further* capped expectations. Recent Statham vehicles like *Shelter* also signaled softening audience interest in this genre lane. An upset above $8 million would have required stronger presales, breakout word-of-mouth, or a surprise critical turnaround—none of which materialized amid the crowded August slate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office
“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m 100.0%
8-9m <1%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$23,972 Vol.
$23,972 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<8m
Yes
8-9m
No
9-10m
No
10-11m
No
11m+
No
<8m 100.0%
8-9m <1%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$23,972 Vol.
$23,972 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<8m
$14,329 Vol.
Yes
8-9m
$4,671 Vol.
No
9-10m
$2,243 Vol.
No
10-11m
$1,497 Vol.
No
11m+
$1,232 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Jason Statham’s mid-budget action thriller *Mutiny* opened to a soft $7.5 million in roughly 2,700 theaters, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for an under-$8 million debut. Pre-release tracking had pegged the Lionsgate release in the $8–12 million range, but muted marketing, mixed reviews (50% on Rotten Tomatoes), and stiff counter-programming from *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *Insidious: Out of the Further* capped expectations. Recent Statham vehicles like *Shelter* also signaled softening audience interest in this genre lane. An upset above $8 million would have required stronger presales, breakout word-of-mouth, or a surprise critical turnaround—none of which materialized amid the crowded August slate.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$23,972End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Jason Statham’s mid-budget action thriller *Mutiny* opened to a soft $7.5 million in roughly 2,700 theaters, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for an under-$8 million debut. Pre-release tracking had pegged the Lionsgate release in the $8–12 million range, but muted marketing, mixed reviews (50% on Rotten Tomatoes), and stiff counter-programming from *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *Insidious: Out of the Further* capped expectations. Recent Statham vehicles like *Shelter* also signaled softening audience interest in this genre lane. An upset above $8 million would have required stronger presales, breakout word-of-mouth, or a surprise critical turnaround—none of which materialized amid the crowded August slate.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$23,972End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Jason Statham’s mid-budget action thriller *Mutiny* opened to a soft $7.5 million in roughly 2,700 theaters, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for an under-$8 million debut. Pre-release tracking had pegged the Lionsgate release in the $8–12 million range, but muted marketing, mixed reviews (50% on Rotten Tomatoes), and stiff counter-programming from *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *Insidious: Out of the Further* capped expectations. Recent Statham vehicles like *Shelter* also signaled softening audience interest in this genre lane. An upset above $8 million would have required stronger presales, breakout word-of-mouth, or a surprise critical turnaround—none of which materialized amid the crowded August slate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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