The soft $21 million domestic opening for "The End of Oak Street" on August 14, combined with steep daily drops and heavy competition from holdovers like "Spider-Man: Brand New Day," has driven trader consensus toward a second-weekend gross below $9 million. The Warner Bros. sci-fi thriller earned positive reviews (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore, but marketing missteps, limited IMAX access, and summer audience fatigue have produced weak legs. Recent daily estimates around $2.3–3.8 million confirm the sharp decline. An upset above $9–10 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or a surprise surge in family audiences, scenarios that appear unlikely given current tracking and theater performance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<9m 100.0%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
11-12m <1%
$15,592 Vol.
$15,592 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<9m
100%
9-10m
<1%
10-11m
<1%
11-12m
<1%
12m+
<1%
<9m 100.0%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
11-12m <1%
$15,592 Vol.
$15,592 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<9m
$8,883 Vol.
100%
9-10m
$4,732 Vol.
<1%
10-11m
$1,298 Vol.
<1%
11-12m
$364 Vol.
<1%
12m+
$315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The soft $21 million domestic opening for "The End of Oak Street" on August 14, combined with steep daily drops and heavy competition from holdovers like "Spider-Man: Brand New Day," has driven trader consensus toward a second-weekend gross below $9 million. The Warner Bros. sci-fi thriller earned positive reviews (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore, but marketing missteps, limited IMAX access, and summer audience fatigue have produced weak legs. Recent daily estimates around $2.3–3.8 million confirm the sharp decline. An upset above $9–10 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or a surprise surge in family audiences, scenarios that appear unlikely given current tracking and theater performance.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$15,592End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The soft $21 million domestic opening for "The End of Oak Street" on August 14, combined with steep daily drops and heavy competition from holdovers like "Spider-Man: Brand New Day," has driven trader consensus toward a second-weekend gross below $9 million. The Warner Bros. sci-fi thriller earned positive reviews (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore, but marketing missteps, limited IMAX access, and summer audience fatigue have produced weak legs. Recent daily estimates around $2.3–3.8 million confirm the sharp decline. An upset above $9–10 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or a surprise surge in family audiences, scenarios that appear unlikely given current tracking and theater performance.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$15,592End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The soft $21 million domestic opening for "The End of Oak Street" on August 14, combined with steep daily drops and heavy competition from holdovers like "Spider-Man: Brand New Day," has driven trader consensus toward a second-weekend gross below $9 million. The Warner Bros. sci-fi thriller earned positive reviews (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore, but marketing missteps, limited IMAX access, and summer audience fatigue have produced weak legs. Recent daily estimates around $2.3–3.8 million confirm the sharp decline. An upset above $9–10 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or a surprise surge in family audiences, scenarios that appear unlikely given current tracking and theater performance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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