Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly in May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, extending his tenure for a seventh consecutive year and retaining key deputies. Following the February 2026 conflict with the United States and Israel, parliament faced extended disruptions before resuming in-person sessions. In June and August 2026, ultraconservative lawmakers from the Paydari Front publicly criticized Ghalibaf over his role in US negotiations, alleged procedural irregularities on parliament closure, and support for diplomatic engagement framed as resistance rather than retreat. These challenges have remained limited, with internal tallies showing fewer than 30 of 290 members in opposition. Ghalibaf continues active diplomatic meetings and public defense of his positions amid ongoing sanctions and regional talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$49,239 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
20%
$49,239 Vol.
September 30
$7,442 Vol.
3%
December 31
$18,210 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly in May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, extending his tenure for a seventh consecutive year and retaining key deputies. Following the February 2026 conflict with the United States and Israel, parliament faced extended disruptions before resuming in-person sessions. In June and August 2026, ultraconservative lawmakers from the Paydari Front publicly criticized Ghalibaf over his role in US negotiations, alleged procedural irregularities on parliament closure, and support for diplomatic engagement framed as resistance rather than retreat. These challenges have remained limited, with internal tallies showing fewer than 30 of 290 members in opposition. Ghalibaf continues active diplomatic meetings and public defense of his positions amid ongoing sanctions and regional talks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Volume
$49,239End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly in May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, extending his tenure for a seventh consecutive year and retaining key deputies. Following the February 2026 conflict with the United States and Israel, parliament faced extended disruptions before resuming in-person sessions. In June and August 2026, ultraconservative lawmakers from the Paydari Front publicly criticized Ghalibaf over his role in US negotiations, alleged procedural irregularities on parliament closure, and support for diplomatic engagement framed as resistance rather than retreat. These challenges have remained limited, with internal tallies showing fewer than 30 of 290 members in opposition. Ghalibaf continues active diplomatic meetings and public defense of his positions amid ongoing sanctions and regional talks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,239End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly in May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, extending his tenure for a seventh consecutive year and retaining key deputies. Following the February 2026 conflict with the United States and Israel, parliament faced extended disruptions before resuming in-person sessions. In June and August 2026, ultraconservative lawmakers from the Paydari Front publicly criticized Ghalibaf over his role in US negotiations, alleged procedural irregularities on parliament closure, and support for diplomatic engagement framed as resistance rather than retreat. These challenges have remained limited, with internal tallies showing fewer than 30 of 290 members in opposition. Ghalibaf continues active diplomatic meetings and public defense of his positions amid ongoing sanctions and regional talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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