Ghalibaf secured re-election as Iran’s parliament speaker for a seventh consecutive term in May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, reflecting broad institutional backing from conservative factions and Revolutionary Guard ties. Limited challenges from ultraconservative Paydari party MPs over his role in US talks and parliamentary procedures have surfaced since June, including public criticism of negotiation stances, yet internal tallies showed fewer than 30 lawmakers in opposition. As of late August, he continues active diplomacy, including regional visits and statements on sanctions and bilateral ties, amid ongoing post-conflict negotiations and domestic legislative debates. These factors anchor trader assessments of removal risk, with scheduled parliamentary sessions and diplomatic timelines as potential near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$49,239 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
20%
$49,239 Vol.
September 30
$7,442 Vol.
3%
December 31
$18,210 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ghalibaf secured re-election as Iran’s parliament speaker for a seventh consecutive term in May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, reflecting broad institutional backing from conservative factions and Revolutionary Guard ties. Limited challenges from ultraconservative Paydari party MPs over his role in US talks and parliamentary procedures have surfaced since June, including public criticism of negotiation stances, yet internal tallies showed fewer than 30 lawmakers in opposition. As of late August, he continues active diplomacy, including regional visits and statements on sanctions and bilateral ties, amid ongoing post-conflict negotiations and domestic legislative debates. These factors anchor trader assessments of removal risk, with scheduled parliamentary sessions and diplomatic timelines as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Volume
$49,239End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ghalibaf secured re-election as Iran’s parliament speaker for a seventh consecutive term in May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, reflecting broad institutional backing from conservative factions and Revolutionary Guard ties. Limited challenges from ultraconservative Paydari party MPs over his role in US talks and parliamentary procedures have surfaced since June, including public criticism of negotiation stances, yet internal tallies showed fewer than 30 lawmakers in opposition. As of late August, he continues active diplomacy, including regional visits and statements on sanctions and bilateral ties, amid ongoing post-conflict negotiations and domestic legislative debates. These factors anchor trader assessments of removal risk, with scheduled parliamentary sessions and diplomatic timelines as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,239End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ghalibaf secured re-election as Iran’s parliament speaker for a seventh consecutive term in May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, reflecting broad institutional backing from conservative factions and Revolutionary Guard ties. Limited challenges from ultraconservative Paydari party MPs over his role in US talks and parliamentary procedures have surfaced since June, including public criticism of negotiation stances, yet internal tallies showed fewer than 30 lawmakers in opposition. As of late August, he continues active diplomacy, including regional visits and statements on sanctions and bilateral ties, amid ongoing post-conflict negotiations and domestic legislative debates. These factors anchor trader assessments of removal risk, with scheduled parliamentary sessions and diplomatic timelines as potential near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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