Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 11th congressional district race, backed by the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index, his uncontested primary win, and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Foster’s substantial fundraising edge—more than $2.1 million raised with over $2.5 million cash on hand as of June 2026—contrasts sharply with Republican nominee Jeff Walter’s roughly $311,000 raised and limited reserves. The western Chicago suburban district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Foster’s 2024 reelection. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major developments since the March primaries. Low-probability shifts could still arise from late scandals, health issues, or sharp national political swings before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-11 House Election Winner
IL-11 House Election Winner
$40,033 Vol.
$40,033 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$40,033 Vol.
$40,033 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,900 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$20,133 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 11th congressional district race, backed by the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index, his uncontested primary win, and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Foster’s substantial fundraising edge—more than $2.1 million raised with over $2.5 million cash on hand as of June 2026—contrasts sharply with Republican nominee Jeff Walter’s roughly $311,000 raised and limited reserves. The western Chicago suburban district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Foster’s 2024 reelection. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major developments since the March primaries. Low-probability shifts could still arise from late scandals, health issues, or sharp national political swings before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$40,033End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 11th congressional district race, backed by the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index, his uncontested primary win, and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Foster’s substantial fundraising edge—more than $2.1 million raised with over $2.5 million cash on hand as of June 2026—contrasts sharply with Republican nominee Jeff Walter’s roughly $311,000 raised and limited reserves. The western Chicago suburban district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Foster’s 2024 reelection. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major developments since the March primaries. Low-probability shifts could still arise from late scandals, health issues, or sharp national political swings before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,033End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 11th congressional district race, backed by the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index, his uncontested primary win, and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Foster’s substantial fundraising edge—more than $2.1 million raised with over $2.5 million cash on hand as of June 2026—contrasts sharply with Republican nominee Jeff Walter’s roughly $311,000 raised and limited reserves. The western Chicago suburban district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Foster’s 2024 reelection. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major developments since the March primaries. Low-probability shifts could still arise from late scandals, health issues, or sharp national political swings before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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