Iran's Atomic Energy Organization head stated on August 26 that the IAEA cannot inspect nuclear sites damaged in prior U.S. and Israeli strikes until new protocols for such facilities are formally approved and notified, citing parliamentary law as the governing standard. This follows the agency's loss of verification access after February 2026 attacks on Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, with enriched uranium stockpiles believed to remain at those locations. Broader U.S.-Iran negotiations under the June interim memorandum have stalled without addressing damaged-site modalities, leaving only limited monitoring at undamaged facilities like Bushehr. Trader assessments reflect the procedural and diplomatic barriers to near-term visits amid these conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
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Oct 31, 2026
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October 31
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Atomic Energy Organization head stated on August 26 that the IAEA cannot inspect nuclear sites damaged in prior U.S. and Israeli strikes until new protocols for such facilities are formally approved and notified, citing parliamentary law as the governing standard. This follows the agency's loss of verification access after February 2026 attacks on Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, with enriched uranium stockpiles believed to remain at those locations. Broader U.S.-Iran negotiations under the June interim memorandum have stalled without addressing damaged-site modalities, leaving only limited monitoring at undamaged facilities like Bushehr. Trader assessments reflect the procedural and diplomatic barriers to near-term visits amid these conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$368,462End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Atomic Energy Organization head stated on August 26 that the IAEA cannot inspect nuclear sites damaged in prior U.S. and Israeli strikes until new protocols for such facilities are formally approved and notified, citing parliamentary law as the governing standard. This follows the agency's loss of verification access after February 2026 attacks on Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, with enriched uranium stockpiles believed to remain at those locations. Broader U.S.-Iran negotiations under the June interim memorandum have stalled without addressing damaged-site modalities, leaving only limited monitoring at undamaged facilities like Bushehr. Trader assessments reflect the procedural and diplomatic barriers to near-term visits amid these conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$368,462End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Atomic Energy Organization head stated on August 26 that the IAEA cannot inspect nuclear sites damaged in prior U.S. and Israeli strikes until new protocols for such facilities are formally approved and notified, citing parliamentary law as the governing standard. This follows the agency's loss of verification access after February 2026 attacks on Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, with enriched uranium stockpiles believed to remain at those locations. Broader U.S.-Iran negotiations under the June interim memorandum have stalled without addressing damaged-site modalities, leaving only limited monitoring at undamaged facilities like Bushehr. Trader assessments reflect the procedural and diplomatic barriers to near-term visits amid these conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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